STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS ERN ND...NERN SD...WRN AND
   NRN MN TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW ELO 45 SW HIB 30 NW STC 45
   NNW RWF 50 WNW RWF 30 E ATY ATY 25 WNW ATY 15 ENE ABR 50 N ABR 30
   N JMS 55 N DVL.
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
   10 ENE SSI 20 NE AYS 45 N AYS 50 SSW AGS 10 SSE SOP 40 NNE RDU
   40 E LYH 20 SE CHO 35 SW DCA 20 NW NHK 25 WNW WAL 15 S WAL.
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
   50 NNW ANJ 15 NNE LSE 35 S RST 10 NNW FOD 30 ESE SUX 10 N OFK
   45 NE BUB 25 ENE ANW 35 NNW VTN 10 NNW PHP 50 E REJ 40 NW DIK
   55 NNW ISN.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE DRT 35 ENE MLC
   20 NW CGI 35 WSW EVV 40 NNE SDF 25 SE CAK 25 WNW AVP 30 ENE ISP.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW FHU 40 SSW SOW
   20 SSW GUP 4SL 15 NE RTN 25 WNW CAO 20 SSW CAO 45 NW HOB 20 S CNM
   75 SSW GDP.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE AUG 25 NW LCI
   40 SSE SLK 40 NNE ART.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSE MTW
   25 ENE DBQ 15 S CID 35 NW OTM 15 W OMA 40 N GRI 25 WSW CDR
   35 E WEY 30 SSW DLN 45 N 27U 90 ENE 63S.
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE GREAT PLAINS WILL FLATTEN AND SHIFT EWD
   TODAY AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES EWD ACROSS SRN CANADA. THE
   REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM BILL WILL MOVE NEWD ALONG THE ATLANTIC
   COAST. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT WILL ORGANIZE OVER THE DAKOTAS AND
   MOVE SEWD INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD.
   
   ...ND/SD/MN/NE NEB/N IA/WI/UPPER MI...
   ABUNDANT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S F
   CURRENTLY EXIST ACROSS ERN ND/NW MN AND SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE
   TODAY. STRONG SFC HEATING BY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE DAKOTAS WILL
   LIKELY CREATE EXTREME INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE VALUES AROUND 4000
   J/KG. LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE
   PACIFIC NW SHOULD MOVE EWD ACROSS MT INTO ND BY LATE AFTERNOON. IN
   RESPONSE...A COLD FRONT SHOULD ORGANIZE AND PUSH EWD ACROSS ND.
   LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THIS BOUNDARY AND INCREASING LARGE-
   SCALE ASCENT SHOULD RESULT IN ISOLATED CONVECTIVE INITIATION DURING
   THE AFTERNOON. THE TIMING OF THE APPROACHING UPPER-TROUGH AND
   ASSOCIATED MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX REMAINS IN QUESTION. HOWEVER...WITH
   EXTREME INSTABILITY IN PLACE...ONCE THE UPPER-TROUGH GETS FAR
   ENOUGH E...WIDESPREAD CONVECTION SHOULD DEVELOP AND MOVE EWD INTO
   THE EXTREME INSTABILITY. THE MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX OVER THE PACIFIC
   NW SHOULD BE POSITIONED ACROSS MT WITH THE EXIT REGION MOVING
   ACROSS CNTRL-ERN ND BY LATE AFTERNOON INCREASING DEEP LAYER SHEAR
   WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR AROUND 50 KT. THIS COUPLED WITH THE HIGH SFC
   MOISTURE AND EXTREME INSTABILITY SUGGESTS SUPERCELLS WILL BE LIKELY
   ESPECIALLY AFTER INITIATION AND DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. AS
   THE MID-LEVEL JET COMES ACROSS ND DURING THE EVENING AND PHASES
   WITH THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET...LINEAR MCS DEVELOPMENT SHOULD OCCUR
   WITH A POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE ACROSS ERN
   ND/NERN SD/WRN MN. EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL
   FOR LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.   
   
   ...E SC/E NC/E GA/E VA/S MD...
   THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM BILL WILL MOVE NEWD ALONG THE MID-
   ATLANTIC COAST TODAY. AS SFC TEMPS WARM AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY
   DEVELOPS...TRAILING CONVECTIVE BANDS WILL BE LIKELY ALONG THE
   IMMEDIATE COAST OF GA/SC/NC/VA. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW STRONG
   DIRECTIONAL SHEAR PROFILES IN THIS REGION BY THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING
   SUGGESTING THE STRONGER CONVECTIVE CELLS WILL ROTATE. ISOLATED
   TORNADOES AND/OR WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SUPERCELLS THAT
   DEVELOP.  
   
   ...ME... 
   SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S F WILL POOL ALONG A
   STATIONARY FRONT ORIENTED FROM W TO E ACROSS ME TODAY. FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS SHOW MODERATE INSTABILITY ACROSS ONTARIO AND MARGINAL
   INSTABILITY FARTHER E ACROSS ME BY MID-AFTERNOON. LOW-LEVEL
   CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF A SWIFT MOVING
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN CONVECTIVE INITIATION ACROSS
   ONTARIO DURING THE AFTERNOON. AS THIS CONVECTION SPREADS EWD ALONG
   THE STATIONARY BOUNDARY ACROSS ONTARIO...ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WILL
   BE POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL DECREASE AS THE
   CONVECTION MOVES EWD INTO WEAKENING INSTABILITY ACROSS ME...
   ISOLATED HAIL OR A DAMAGING WIND GUST COULD OCCUR GIVEN THE STRONG
   DEEP LAYER SHEAR IN PLACE. 
    
   ..BROYLES/TAYLOR.. 07/02/03
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1300Z