SPC AC 311235
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0735 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2003
   
   VALID 311300Z - 011200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE ILM 15 NW ILM
   FLO 20 S CAE 45 SSW AGS 55 NNW AYS 15 NW AYS 25 W SSI 10 SE SSI
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW 4CR 20 SSE ALM
   15 WNW GDP 35 W INK 25 E INK 10 WSW BGS 65 NE BGS 20 N LTS 30 W END
   30 WSW HUT 10 SW RSL 35 SW HLC 45 SSW GLD 20 SE LHX 45 WSW CAO 4CR
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW YUM 20 E BLH
   EED 55 SSW DRA 55 ENE MER 45 SW SVE 40 NE SVE WMC 60 S EKO 25 S CDC
   30 W CEZ 25 NNW GUC 40 WSW LAR 25 NE DGW 45 E 81V 30 NNE RAP 40 E
   PHP 50 W YKN 25 SSE SUX 45 NNW OTM 45 NE MLI 35 NE FWA 25 ENE LBE 10
   N BWI 30 ENE SBY
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...WRN GULF COAST...
   
   TROPICAL STORM GRACE CONTINUES ITS MOVEMENT TOWARD THE TX COAST WITH
   STRONGEST CONVECTION EXTENDING FROM SERN THROUGH NRN QUADRANTS. 
   THIS ACTIVITY IS ROTATING INLAND WHERE LOCAL VWP DATA INDICATE LOW
   LEVEL SHEAR IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG.  WITH TIME SHEAR PROFILES
   SHOULD INCREASE AS CENTER OF CIRCULATION APPROACHES LAND...ALONG
   WITH THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES.  REF LATEST NHC
   PRODUCTS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM GRACE.
   
   ...MID MS VALLEY...
   
   EARLY MORNING WV IMAGERY INDICATES WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH
   EXTENDS FROM VORT MAX OVER SERN WY...SWD INTO ERN CO.  THIS FEATURE
   IS MOVING EWD IN LINE WITH LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE.  DOWNSTREAM OF
   THIS SYSTEM...SWLY FLOW ON THE ORDER OF 30-35KT WILL ENHANCE DEEP
   LAYER SHEAR ACROSS MO THAT SHOULD SUPPORT AT LEAST MULTICELL
   ORGANIZATION OF CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS.  THE MAIN IMPEDIMENT FOR
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY IS THE EXTREMELY
   MOIST PROFILES...PW VALUES IN EXCESS OF 2IN...WITH LAPSE RATES ON
   THE ORDER OF 5.5-6C/KM.  MINIMAL BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING AND WEAK
   INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT INTENSITY/COVERAGE OF POTENTIAL SEVERE. 
   STRONGEST ACTIVITY MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND BUT OVERALL
   THREAT APPEARS TOO LOW TO WARRANT SLIGHT RISK ATTM.
   
   ..DARROW/BANACOS.. 08/31/2003
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1630Z