SPC AC 062002
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0302 PM CDT MON OCT 06 2003
   
   VALID 062000Z - 071200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW
   P07 40 NNE MRF GDP 25 N ROW 45 W TCC 30 N TCC 30 SSW DHT 40 SSE LBB
   20 N JCT 25 SE DRT.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE 4OM 25 SSE YKM
   55 WSW RDM 30 N 4BK.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SW GBN 10 NNW GBN
   50 NNE PHX 60 ESE SOW 15 SSW ONM 25 WNW 4CR 25 NW SAF 25 ESE U17 35
   NW P38 30 SSE BAM 30 N OWY 40 SW 27U 35 NE 3DU 45 ESE GTF 25 SSE 3HT
   40 SSW BPI 45 E PUC 10 ENE MTJ 25 N TAD 45 E LAA 25 SSE GCK 25 ENE
   GAG 10 SW CSM 30 WNW ADM 25 ENE MKO 30 WSW HRO 35 SSE JBR 30 NW CHA
   35 NW HSS 15 S TRI 35 W HKY 40 NNW AND 15 ESE CLT 25 SSW ILM.
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM ERN NM THROUGH PORTIONS OF
   W AND SWRN TX...
   
   ...ERN NM THROUGH W TX...
   
   
   CONVECTIVELY REINFORCED BOUNDARIES EXTEND FROM SE TX NWWD TO NEAR
   SAN ANGELO THEN NNWWD THROUGH W TX. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH SURFACE
   DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S HAS ADVECTED AS FAR NWD AS ERN
   NM AND THE TX PANHANDLE. WARM SECTOR S AND SW OF THE BOUNDARIES FROM
   ERN NM THROUGH W AND SW TX IS DESTABILIZING...WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES
   AND SURFACE HEATING CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPES FROM 1500 TO 2000 J/KG.
   OROGRAPHIC FORCING AND MODEST ELY UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD SUPPORT AN
   INCREASE IN STORMS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF ERN NM/SWRN TX. WNWLY
   FLOW ALOFT AND SOME INCREASE IN SELY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW THIS
   EVENING SHOULD HELP STORMS MOVE EWD OFF THE MOUNTAINS. ACTIVITY
   SHOULD INTENSITY AS IT DEVELOPS ESEWD INTO THE INSTABILITY AXIS.
   OTHER STORMS WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING FARTHER EAST IN VICINITY OF
   THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW BELOW MODEST NWLY FLOW
   ALOFT WILL RESULT IN SHEAR PROFILES AT LEAST MARGINALLY FAVORABLE
   FOR STORMS TO ORGANIZE AS THEY SPREAD ESEWD OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
   ISOLATED SUPERCELLS AND BOWING LINE SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
   HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS
   THROUGH THE EVENING.
   
   ..DIAL.. 10/06/2003
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0100Z