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Oct-16-2003 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
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   SPC AC 160023
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0723 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2003
   
   VALID 160100Z - 161200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW TUS 25 E TUS 45
   SSE SAD 30 S DMN.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SOUTHERN PLATEAU...
   A COUPLE OF LOW AMPLITUDE WAVES...EMBEDDED WITHIN SUBTROPICAL
   WESTERLIES ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO INTO TEXAS...ARE EVIDENT IN LATEST
   WATER VAPOR IMAGERY.  LOW/MID-LEVEL CONFLUENT FLOW REGIME IN WAKE OF
   LEAD WAVE...AND IN ADVANCE OF SECOND WAVE...APPEARS TO BE PROVIDING
   FOCUS FOR ONGOING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS NORTHERN SONORA/
   CHIHUAHUA AND NEAR THE U.S. BORDER.  AS FAVORABLE LARGE-SCALE
   FORCING SHIFTS EASTWARD THIS EVENING...AND SURFACE COOLING
   COMMENCES...ACTIVITY SHOULD SLOWLY DIMINISH.
   
   ..KERR.. 10/16/2003
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0600Z
        
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