SPC AC 160023
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0723 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2003
VALID 160100Z - 161200Z
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW TUS 25 E TUS 45
SSE SAD 30 S DMN.
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SOUTHERN PLATEAU...
A COUPLE OF LOW AMPLITUDE WAVES...EMBEDDED WITHIN SUBTROPICAL
WESTERLIES ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO INTO TEXAS...ARE EVIDENT IN LATEST
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. LOW/MID-LEVEL CONFLUENT FLOW REGIME IN WAKE OF
LEAD WAVE...AND IN ADVANCE OF SECOND WAVE...APPEARS TO BE PROVIDING
FOCUS FOR ONGOING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS NORTHERN SONORA/
CHIHUAHUA AND NEAR THE U.S. BORDER. AS FAVORABLE LARGE-SCALE
FORCING SHIFTS EASTWARD THIS EVENING...AND SURFACE COOLING
COMMENCES...ACTIVITY SHOULD SLOWLY DIMINISH.
..KERR.. 10/16/2003
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0600Z
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