SPC AC 051632
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1032 AM CST WED NOV 05 2003
VALID 051630Z - 061200Z
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW CEW 10 E MSL
10 WSW BWG 20 E LUK 30 ESE ERI 40 N MSV 25 NW HYA.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW P07 10 S INK
LBB 15 NNE TUL 40 NE UNO 40 SSW JBR 30 SW SHV 30 SW CLL 40 N HDO 25
SSE DRT.
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SW TX INTO THE OZARKS...
BROAD SCALE ASCENT/ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH
QUASI-STATIONARY LOW TO MID LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE FROM WRN TX INTO
THE OZARKS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH THE PERIOD.
CONVECTION WILL GENERALLY BE ROOTED ABOVE THE SURFACE LAYER...WITH
LITTLE THREAT FOR CONVECTION TO REACH SEVERE LEVELS PER MARGINAL
LAPSE RATES IN THE MID-UPPER TROPOSPHERE AND LIMITED ELEVATED
INSTABILITY IN SPITE OF STRONG MID/UPPER FLOW.
...SOUTHEAST STATES...
LARGE SCALE ASCENT IN ADDITION TO SUBTROPICAL CIRCULATION EXTENDING
ALONG THE MS/AL COAST WILL FOSTER SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS MUCH
OF THE SE STATES TODAY. WEAK LAPSE RATES/DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUGGEST
POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE CONVECTION WILL BE MINIMAL.
..GUYER/THOMPSON.. 11/05/2003
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 2000Z
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