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Nov- 5-2003 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
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1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
      
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   SPC AC 051632
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1032 AM CST WED NOV 05 2003
   
   VALID 051630Z - 061200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW CEW 10 E MSL
   10 WSW BWG 20 E LUK 30 ESE ERI 40 N MSV 25 NW HYA.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW P07 10 S INK
   LBB 15 NNE TUL 40 NE UNO 40 SSW JBR 30 SW SHV 30 SW CLL 40 N HDO 25
   SSE DRT.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SW TX INTO THE OZARKS...
   BROAD SCALE ASCENT/ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH
   QUASI-STATIONARY LOW TO MID LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE FROM WRN TX INTO
   THE OZARKS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH THE PERIOD.
   CONVECTION WILL GENERALLY BE ROOTED ABOVE THE SURFACE LAYER...WITH
   LITTLE THREAT FOR CONVECTION TO REACH SEVERE LEVELS PER MARGINAL
   LAPSE RATES IN THE MID-UPPER TROPOSPHERE AND LIMITED ELEVATED
   INSTABILITY IN SPITE OF STRONG MID/UPPER FLOW.
   
   ...SOUTHEAST STATES...
   LARGE SCALE ASCENT IN ADDITION TO SUBTROPICAL CIRCULATION EXTENDING
   ALONG THE MS/AL COAST WILL FOSTER SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS MUCH
   OF THE SE STATES TODAY. WEAK LAPSE RATES/DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUGGEST
   POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE CONVECTION WILL BE MINIMAL.
   
   ..GUYER/THOMPSON.. 11/05/2003
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 2000Z
        
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