SPC AC 011933
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0133 PM CST MON DEC 01 2003
   
   VALID 012000Z - 021200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW PBG 35 SSE SLK
   35 W ALB 15 ESE BGM 40 ENE BFD 15 W ERI.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   
   DEEP PROGRESSIVE VORTEX NOW MOVING OVER JAMES BAY CONTINUES TO BRING
   STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION EWD
   THROUGH SRN NEW ENGLAND.  MEANWHILE...MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL
   SLOWLY FILL AS IT APPROACHES THE NRN CA COAST BECOMING A SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH AS IT MOVES OVER THE GREAT BASING TONIGHT.  COLD FRONT
   EXTENDS FROM NERN NC WSWWD THROUGH NRN LA AND CENTRAL TX AS SURFACE
   RIDGE BECOMES REINFORCED OVER THE CENTRAL U.S.
   
   
   ...LEE OF THE GREAT LAKES...
   
   SMALL PROBABILITIES REMAIN FOR ISOLATED THUNDER TO OCCUR WITH SNOW
   SQUALLS AS A RESULT OF STRONG WNWLY FLOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES. 
   LATEST POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS USING THE 18Z RUC MODEL SHOWS LITTLE
   IN THE WAY OF ELEVATED...LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY REMAINING EAST OF LK
   ERIE AND ONTARIO...BUT LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE STILL IN THE 7.0 TO
   7.5C/KM RANGE. THUS...LOW PROBABILITIES OF THUNDER REMAIN FOR THE
   NEXT FEW HOURS.
   
   ELSEWHERE...AIR MASS IS TOO STABLE TO SUPPORT ANY THUNDERSTORM
   ACTIVITY DURING THE PERIOD.
   
   ..MCCARTHY.. 12/01/2003
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0100Z