SPC AC 102001
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0201 PM CST WED DEC 10 2003
   
   VALID 102000Z - 111200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE
   CHS 30 SE FAY GSB 45 WSW ECG 25 NE ECG.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE AQQ 35 N ABY
   20 ESE TYS 50 NW HTS 25 NW ZZV 15 ESE YNG DUJ 35 N CXY ACY.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N OTH 15 WSW MFR
   55 NNE SAC 25 NE SCK 35 W MER 10 S MRY.
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF ERN NC AND
   FAR ERN SC...
   
   ...ERN NC/FAR ERN SC...
   A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS FAR WRN SC AND ERN GA. A
   LINE OF CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY ONGOING ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE
   BOUNDARY. FARTHER EAST...OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS A DESTABILIZING
   AIR MASS OFF THE COAST OF SC WITH LI VALUES AT -6. ALTHOUGH A LARGE
   AREA OF RAIN IS ABOUT TO MOVE INTO THE SLIGHT RISK AREA...THE
   UNSTABLE MARINE AIR WILL LIKELY ADVECT NWD BEHIND IT. THIS WOULD
   ALLOW THE AIRMASS TO RECOVER QUICKLY. IN ADDITION...DEEP LAYER SHEAR
   IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE FROM 35 TO 40 KT INTO THE 50 TO 55 KT RANGE
   ACROSS THE INSTABILITY AXIS AHEAD OF A SHARP UPPER-TROUGH MOVING
   INTO THE APPALACHIAN MTNS. AS A RESULT...AN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE
   POTENTIAL WILL BE LIKELY WITH NEW CELLS THAT DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
   LINE OR WITH STRONG CELLS IN THE LINE THAT MOVE INTO THE INSTABILITY
   AXIS. IN ADDITION...THE BACKED LOW-LEVEL ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
   WOULD MAKE A TORNADO POSSIBLE WITH ISOLATED STRONGER CELLS AHEAD OF
   THE LINE LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
   
   ...NERN FL/SERN GA...
   A LINE OF CONVECTION MOVING ACROSS NRN FL AND SERN GA WILL CONTINUE
   TO MOVE EWD INTO THE ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
   SOME SFC HEATING HAS OCCURRED IN THE JAX VICINITY WITH SFC TEMPS IN
   THE MID 70S F. THIS IS RESULTING IN WEAK INSTABILITY. THIS COMBINED
   WITH 55 TO 60 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR WILL MAINTAIN A THREAT FOR A
   DAMAGING WIND GUST OR TWO BEFORE THE LINE MOVES OFFSHORE.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 12/10/2003
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0100Z