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Jan-21-2003 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Categorical Graphic
1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
      
 
Probabilistic Graphic (more info)
1730 Day 2 Prob Graphic
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   STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWI47 KWNS.
   
   VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
   
   NO SVR TSTM AREAS FCST.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW BLI
   20 ENE SLE 40 S EUG CEC.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW DAB 30 S TLH
   10 W MAI 30 SSW CSG 45 WNW MCN 30 SSE AHN CAE CRE.
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO FEATURE COLD UPPER TROUGH ACROSS ERN
   NORTH AMERICA AND A RIDGE ACROSS THE WEST INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE
   WEEK.  THE WEAK DISTURBANCE NOW LOCATED ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS
   WILL MOVE ESEWD AND GET ABSORBED INTO LONGWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE
   SERN STATES EARLY WEDNESDAY.  MEANWHILE...VORT MAX WILL MOVE INTO
   THE PAC NW LATE WEDNESDAY. 
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   A FEW TSTMS COULD BE ONGOING AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD ACROSS
   NRN/CNTRL PORTIONS OF AL/MS/GA WITHIN WEAK WARM ADVECTION REGIME
   ASSOCIATED WITH BAROCLINIC ZONE SETTLING SWD.  CONVECTION SHOULD
   SHIFT EWD OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST DURING THE MIDDAY HOURS.  ELEVATED
   CONVECTION...INCLUDING A FEW TSTMS...MAY DEVELOP LATER IN THE
   AFTERNOON AS THE BAROCLINIC ZONE MOVES SWD INTO SRN GA AND NRN FL.
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MAINTENANCE OF 6.5 C/KM MIDLEVEL LAPSE
   RATES IN THE AREA OF WARM ADVECTION ABOVE THE SURFACE FRONT WHERE
   SUFFICIENT SUPPORT/INSTABILITY WILL EXIST FOR AT LEAST ISOLD TSTMS.
   
   ...PAC NW...
   POST FRONTAL AIR MASS SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS THE PAC NW WEDNESDAY
   NIGHT.  STEEPENING LAPSE RATES AND MOIST ONSHORE FLOW NORTH OF THE
   MIDLEVEL JET AXIS SHOULD ENCOURAGE DEVELOPMENT OF LOW TOPPED
   CONVECTION WITH ISOLD LIGHTNING ALONG AND WEST OF THE COASTAL
   RANGES OF WA/ORE.  
   
   ..RACY.. 01/21/03
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0800Z
        
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