STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWI47 KWNS.
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
NO SVR TSTM AREAS FCST.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW P07 25 E INK
40 N BGS 20 N ABI 25 NW JCT 35 NNW LRD.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S MIA 40 NNE FMY
30 ENE ORL.
...SYNOPSIS...
ZONAL FLOW PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE BEGINNING OF
THE NEW WORK WEEK. NRN STREAM UPPER TROUGH NOW MOVING ACROSS THE
NERN STATES WILL MOVE OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST EARLY MONDAY. IN ITS
WAKE...SURFACE HIGH WILL MOVE SEWD FROM THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS INTO
THE ERN STATES. FRONT SITUATED IN THE NRN GULF INTO NRN FL WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE SWD THROUGH PARTS OF CNTRL FL MONDAY AFTERNOON
WHILE THE WRN END BEGINS TO RETURN NWD MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY.
...CNTRL SRN FL...
GIVEN THAT MUCH OF THE LARGE SCALE SUPPORT FOR VERTICAL MOTION WILL
BE EXITING INTO THE ATLANTIC EARLY MONDAY...LOCALIZED ENHANCED
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT/SEABREEZES WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW
TSTMS MONDAY AFTERNOON. ACTIVITY WILL MOVE ESEWD TOWARD THE SERN
COAST BY EVENING AND LIKELY REMAIN WEAK AND SCATTERED IN COVERAGE
GIVEN RELATIVELY WARM MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES.
...SW TX...
RETURN FLOW...ALBEIT WEAK...WILL ADVECT MOISTURE ACROSS THE RIO
GRANDE INTO PARTS OF SW TX MONDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT...PROBABLY SLOWER
THAN SHORT TERM MODEL SUITES INDICATE. NONETHELESS...RETURN OF
MOISTURE BENEATH STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL LIKELY AID IN A FEW SHOWERS
AND ISOLD TSTMS MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY.
..RACY.. 03/09/03
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0800Z
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