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Apr-21-2003 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Categorical Graphic
1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
      
 
Probabilistic Graphic (more info)
1730 Day 2 Prob Graphic
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   STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWI47 KWNS.
   
   VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM JCT
   50 N DRT P07 20 WNW FST 40 WNW HOB 45 W CVS 25 SW CAO 15 SE DHT
   20 SSW AMA 70 ESE LBB 40 SSW ABI JCT.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE CTY
   20 NNW DAB.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSW P07
   10 WSW MRF 40 WNW CNM 35 WSW ABQ 30 SW INW 35 NW BLH 20 SSE BFL
   SVE 45 SW GEG 65 N 3TH 45 WSW CTB 45 S GCC 30 SSW SNY 35 WSW GCK
   20 SW OKC 10 ENE DUA 20 NNE LFK 20 ENE GLS ...CONT... 15 ESE CRP
   65 WSW COT.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE SBY
   20 SSW AVP 10 NNE MSS.
   
   ...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   
   UNSEASONABLY STRONG/COLD UPPER LOW MOVES FROM SRN NV EWD TO
   VICINITY 4-CORNERS THIS FORECAST PERIOD. GENERAL LOW PRESSURE WITH
   NO WELL DEFINED CENTER COVERS MUCH OF CENTRAL/SRN
   ROCKIES...RESULTING IN SELY RETURN FLOW MUCH OF HIGH PLAINS.  WHILE
   COLD FRONT WILL NOT ENTER  SRN HI PLAINS UNTIL LATER TUESDAY
   NIGHT...CONDITIONS SHOULD BECOME FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
   ACROSS SRN HI PLAINS E OF DRY LINE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
   
   DEWPOINTS TO NEAR 60F EXPECTED TO MAKE IT INTO SRN PORTION OF
   PANHANDLE...SWD BY AFTERNOON WITH THE DRY LINE MIXING EWD TO
   VICINITY ERN NM/TX BORDER.  SBCAPES UPWARD TO 2000 J/KG ARE LIKELY
   TO DEVELOP ACROSS SWRN TX INTO SRN PANHANDLE. VEERING SHEAR
   PROFILES WILL BE INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS SWRN TX NWD
   THRU WRN TX PANHANDLE INTO ERN CO PLAINS.  FURTHER N WHERE SHEAR IS
   GREATER... CAPE WILL BE LIMITED AS DEWPOINTS STRUGGLE TO REACH 50F
   INTO SERN CO.  STORMS THAT ARE ABLE TO INITIATE  SHOULD BE
   POTENTIALLY LARGE HAILERS WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES MOST POSSIBLE 
   ALONG/EAST OF DRY LINE TRANSPECOS REGION WHERE CAPE WILL BE
   GREATER.  
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE AFTER 00Z AS LOW LEVEL
   WARM ADVECTION AND MOISTURE CONTINUE TO DEVELOP N AND E THRU TX
   PANHANDLE POSSIBLY INTO SWRN OK.  STORMS SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY
   ELEVATED AS THEY SPREAD NEWD AHEAD OF ADVANCING UPPER TROUGH WITH
   A DIMINISHING SEVERE THREAT. 
   
   ..HALES.. 04/21/03
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0800Z
        
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