STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWI47 KWNS.
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER SERN NEB...ERN KS...MUCH OF
   MO...EXTREME SWRN IA...AND PARTS OF EXTREME NERN OK AND NWRN AR. 
   THE MDT RISK IS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW EMP 25 NE SLN 35
   WNW CNK 25 ESE GRI 35 W OMA 50 E OMA 35 SSW OTM 20 WSW UIN 45 W STL
   30 WSW UNO 15 SSW FYV 10 WNW TUL 45 WSW CNU 20 WNW EMP.
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
   40 W ADM PNC 15 ENE ICT 25 SSW SLN 20 NNW RSL 30 WNW HLC 30 NW GLD
   15 SSW AKO 45 WSW SNY BFF 30 NE AIA 25 S ANW 30 N OFK 10 NE SPW
   30 SSW RST 10 WSW LNR 20 SE JVL 45 SW SBN 30 SSW MIE 40 WSW HTS
   30 N TRI 30 SW AVL 40 NNE ATL 20 SSE HSV 40 NNW TUP 55 ENE LIT
   15 NNE HOT 30 E PRX 30 NE ACT 30 W TPL 15 SSW BWD 40 W ADM.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE SSI 25 NE MGR
   20 NNW DHN 35 SW SEM 30 WNW MEI 50 SSE GLH 30 SSE ELD 20 E GGG
   60 SW TYR 30 N HDO 25 WSW JCT 30 N BWD 30 SE FSI 30 E END
   25 SSE ICT 40 SE RSL 25 SSE HLC 15 ESE GLD 50 ESE LIC 30 NE PUB
   35 N ALS 25 ESE CEZ 50 ESE PGA 50 WNW GCN 25 WNW LAS 45 SE BIH
   45 WSW TVL 20 WSW RBL 35 E CEC 50 N MFR 40 WSW RDM 75 SSW PDT
   50 NE BKE 10 NW 27U 15 NNE MQM 30 WNW COD 30 WSW SHR 20 SW 4BQ
   70 SSE GDV 45 ESE SDY 60 NW MOT.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WNW RRT GFK
   45 WNW FAR 20 SSW FAR 45 N AXN 60 ESE BRD 15 ESE CWA 35 WSW MBS
   35 NNE ERI 10 NE SYR GFL 20 SSE PSM.
   
   
   
   ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH POSSIBLE TORNADOES WILL DEVELOP OVER
   PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS AND MS VALLEY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS ERN KS AND
   WRN MO...AND SERN NEB...
   
   STRONG MID LEVEL SPEED MAX...ON THE ORDER OF 65KT AT H5...WILL LIFT
   NEWD FROM BASE OF LONG WAVE TROUGH ACROSS NM INTO SERN KS BY LATE
   AFTERNOON ALLOWING SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO EJECT INTO THE CENTRAL
   PLAINS.  THIS FEATURE WILL FORCE NWD RETURN OF WARM FRONT ACROSS
   OK/AR...INTO NRN KS/MO BY PEAK HEATING.  RAPID RECOVERY IS EXPECTED
   AHEAD OF DRY LINE FROM ERN OK INTO KS WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE
   SHOULD INCREASE IN THE WAKE OF EARLY MORNING CONVECTION.  THIS
   EARLY ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP WITHIN INCREASING ASCENT DUE TO WARM
   ADVECTION ALONG NOSE OF STRENGTHENING LLJ.  HOWEVER...BOUNDARY
   LAYER HEATING WILL PROVE NECESSARY FOR MORE ROBUST CONVECTION AHEAD
   OF SFC LOW...SWD ALONG DRY LINE IN KS WHERE MUCAPES SHOULD APPROACH
   4000 J/KG IF SUFFICIENT HEATING OCCURS.  LATEST THINKING IS EARLY
   MORNING THROUGH MID DAY CONVECTION MAY PRODUCE HAIL AS RECOVERY
   SPREADS NORTH AND EAST.  MORE SIGNIFICANT SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT
   WITH POSSIBLE TORNADOES WILL OCCUR LATER DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO
   THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT HOURS AS UPPER DIVERGENCE INCREASES DUE TO
   APPROACHING SPEED MAX.  VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES APPEAR QUITE
   FAVORABLE FOR INTENSE SUPERCELL ACTIVITY...ESPECIALLY IF HEATING
   OCCURS AS EXPECTED ACROSS KS.  AS LLJ INCREASES AND VEERS ACROSS MO
   INTO WRN IL...MULTIPLE CLUSTERS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
   EVOLVE AND SPREAD ACROSS THE MS VALLEY...BOTH ALONG/NORTH OF
   BOUNDARY...SWD INTO THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS MO/AR.
   
   FARTHER SOUTH...INCREASING THICKNESSES AND WARMING TEMPERATURES
   ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER MAY SLOW SWD DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION
   ALONG THE DRY LINE ACROSS SERN OK...INTO CENTRAL TX.  EVEN
   SO...EXTREME CAPE AND DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF
   SUPERCELLS SUGGEST AT LEAST A LOW PROBABILITY FOR LARGE
   HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO.
    
    
   ..DARROW.. 05/07/03
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0800Z