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May-19-2003 0800 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Categorical Graphic
0800 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
      
 
Probabilistic Graphic (more info)
0800 Day 2 Prob Graphic
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   STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWI47 KWNS.
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   NO SVR TSTM AREAS FCST.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW PBG
   30 WNW BWI 40 NNW GSO 40 S SPA SAV.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW PSX 15 WSW HDO
   50 NNW DRT 30 WSW FST 15 SSW 4CR 15 NE FMN EGE 45 SSE LHX 25 W CSM
   MLC 60 S HRO 20 NW MDH 20 NNW HUF 10 E SBN 40 N APN.
   
   
   THE DOMINANT FEATURE THIS FORECAST PERIOD IS THE UNSEASONABLY LARGE
   POLAR HIGH THAT MOVES EWD ACROSS NCENTRAL U.S.  THE ATTENDANT COLD
   FRONT INITIALLY TUE AM FROM MI SWWD THRU THE LOWER OH VALLEY TO
   SWRN TX WILL   REACH THE APPALACHIANS ACROSS LOWER MS VALLEY TO S
   TX BY 12Z WED.
   
   THE FRONT WILL BE WELL S AND E OF THE STRONGER BAND OF WLYS WHICH
   WILL REMAIN ACROSS CENTRAL/NRN PLAINS TO UPPER GREAT LAKES.  AS A
   RESULT THE WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL BE MOIST BUT
   ONLY WEAKLY SHEARED.  WHERE THE BETTER SHEAR IS AVAILABLE ACROSS
   THE ERN OH VALLEY INTO WRN NY/PA INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO
   DEEP MOISTURE AND LAPSE RATES GENERALLY  6C/KM OR LESS.
   
   GIVEN THESE EXPECTED CONDITIONS...THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOP IN
   ASSOCIATION WITH THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW
   SEVERE LEVELS.
    
   ..HALES.. 05/19/03
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1730Z
        
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