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Jul-31-2003 0800 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Categorical Graphic
0800 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
      
 
Probabilistic Graphic (more info)
0800 Day 2 Prob Graphic
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   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0218 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2003
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM FWA
   SDF DYR LIT HOT ADM GAG P28 OJC ALO 10 S RHI ESC GRR FWA
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SSE GBN EED DAG
   MER RBL MFR BNO OWY U24 U28 EGE LAR CDR MHN HSI OMA FRM RWF JMS 65
   NNW DVL ...CONT... 15 NW EFK BML PWM ...CONT... 25 ESE BPT DAL LBB
   ROW ELP
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ON FRIDAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE
   UPPER/MIDDLE MS VALLEY INTO KS/OK....
   
   UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST AND WESTERN GREAT LAKES
   REGION ON FRIDAY...WITH BROAD BAND OF 40+ KNOT NORTHWESTERLY MID
   LEVEL WINDS FROM MT/WY TO AR/MO.  MAIN SURFACE COLD FRONT IS
   FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM LOW OVER WI ACROSS EASTERN IA AND NORTHERN
   MO INTO SOUTHERN KS.  REMNANT CONVECTION FROM DAY1 PERIOD WILL
   LIKELY RESULT IN AREAS OF CLOUDS/PRECIPITATION THAT MAY LIMIT
   DESTABILIZATION.  HOWEVER...AIRMASS AHEAD OF FRONT WILL BE QUITE
   MOIST WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S WITH AT LEAST POCKETS OF VERY
   UNSTABLE CONDITIONS /MLCAPE OF 2000-3000 J/KG/.  RELATIVELY WEAK CAP
   AND FORCING ALONG FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES SHOULD AID IN THE
   DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ALONG/AHEAD OF
   FRONT FROM CENTRAL WI INTO SOUTHEAST KS/NORTHEAST OK.  MODEL
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS THROUGHOUT THIS REGION SHOW FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER
   VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES AND STEEP LAPSE RATES...SUGGESTING THE
   POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED/SUPERCELL STORMS.  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
   WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER CELLS AS THEY SPREAD
   SOUTHEASTWARD INTO PARTS OF AR/MO/IL/IND DURING THE EVENING.
   
   ..HART.. 07/31/2003
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1730Z
        
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