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Nov-19-2003 0800 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
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0800 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
      
 
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   SPC AC 190731
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0131 AM CST WED NOV 19 2003
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE CTB 35 SSW HVR
   30 E 3HT 25 SW COD 45 SSW JAC 20 E BYI 50 SE BNO 75 SSW RDM 25 N
   OTH.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   STRONG...SWLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW REGIME WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED
   THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD FROM CNTRL CA INTO THE GREAT
   LAKES...BETWEEN FALLING HEIGHTS OVER THE PACIFIC NW AND LARGE-SCALE
   TROUGH MOVING OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST. IN THE LOW-LEVELS...LARGE
   RIDGE AXIS WILL PERSIST FROM THE SPINE OF THE APPALACHIANS SWWD INTO
   THE CNTRL GULF COAST. ELSEWHERE...INTENSIFYING COLD FRONT FROM THE
   NRN PLAINS WWD INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN W WILL MOVE SWD AND SHOULD
   EXTEND FROM THE CNTRL GREAT LAKES SWWD TO LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
   CNTRL HIGH PLAINS WWD INTO THE GREAT BASIN BY FRIDAY MORNING.
   
   ...PACIFIC NW INTO THE NRN ROCKIES...
   VERY COLD MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES / -30 TO -36C AT 500MB / AND
   RESULTANT STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO WEAK ELEVATED
   INSTABILITY ACROSS THE REGION ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
   INSTABILITY...WHEN COUPLED WITH FORCING FOR ASCENT AHEAD OF
   APPROACHING MID-LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE NW...MAY RESULT IN A FEW
   ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES WITH THE SHOWERY PRECIPITATION IN THE
   AREA.
   
   ..MEAD.. 11/19/2003
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1730Z
        
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