STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWK48 KWNS.
    
   VALID 291200-301200
    
   LESS THAN A SLIGHT RISK.
   
   STRONG WEST-NORTHWESTERLY MID LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST ACROSS MOST
   OF THE UNITED STATES ON WEDNESDAY...WITH SERIES OF SHORTWAVE
   TROUGHS EMBEDDED IN FLOW AND MOVING ACROSS THE NATION.  PRIMARY
   SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL LIE FROM THE CAROLINAS WESTWARD ACROSS
   THE GULF COAST STATES AND INTO CENTRAL/SOUTH TX.  THIS BOUNDARY
   WILL LIKELY BE THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED PRECIPITATION FROM SOUTHEAST
   TX INTO GA.  MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW INCREASING LOW/MID LEVEL
   MOISTURE SOUTH OF THE FRONT...BUT RATHER WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
   AND VERY MODEST INSTABILITY VALUES.  GIVEN CURRENT MODEL RUNS...IT
   APPEARS ELEVATED CAPE VALUES OF 250-500 J/KG MAY DEVELOP OVER PARTS
   OF SOUTHEAST TX/SOUTHERN LA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT.  ISOLATED
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA...WITH MUCH LOWER
   PROBABILITIES OF DEEP CONVECTION FARTHER EAST.  LACK OF SUFFICIENT
   INSTABILITY WILL PRECLUDE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK ON DAY3.
    
   ..HART.. 01/27/03
    
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1200Z