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May-10-2003 1200 UTC Day 3 Convective Outlook
Categorical Graphic
1200 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
      
Probabilistic Graphic (more info)
1200 Day 3 Prob Graphic
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   STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWK48 KWNS.
    
   VALID 121200-131200
    
   LESS THAN A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE TSTMS.
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY EWD FROM THE
   GREAT LAKES TO NEW ENGLAND...WHILE AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT
   MOVES SWD INTO THE N/NE GULF AND INTO NRN/CENTRAL FL.  THE WRN
   PORTION OF THE FRONT MAY BEGIN TO RETURN NWD AS A WARM FRONT ACROSS
   TX LATE IN THE PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO LEE CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE
   CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS.  THE RETURNING MOISTURE...BENEATH STEEP
   MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...MAY RESULT IN SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION
   FOR A FEW ELEVATED STRONG STORMS IN THE WAA REGIME OVER KS OR WRN
   OK LATE IN THE PERIOD.  OTHERWISE...ISOLATED STRONG STORMS MAY FORM
   OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SW TX DURING THE DAY IN CLOSER PROXIMITY
   TO THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE.  
    
   ..THOMPSON.. 05/10/03
    
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1200Z
        
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