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Jun-25-2003 1200 UTC Day 3 Convective Outlook
Categorical Graphic
1200 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
      
Probabilistic Graphic (more info)
1200 Day 3 Prob Graphic
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   STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWK48 KWNS.
    
   VALID 271200-281200
    
   LESS THAN A SLIGHT RISK.
   
   ...SRN PLAINS...
   
   STRONG TROUGH THAT WILL BE TRAVERSING THE CENTRAL U.S. NEXT COUPLE
   OF DAYS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND LIFT NEWD INTO SERN CANADA ON SAT. 
   IN ITS WAKE WNWLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL FROM THE PAC NW/SWRN CANADA
   INTO THE GREAT LAKES. AN EMBEDDED S/WV TROUGH/WIND MAX MOVES ALONG
   THE U.S. CANADIAN BORDER REACHING THE UPPER MS VALLEY LATE FRIDAY
   NIGHT. WHILE MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...THE
   COLD AIR ALOFT/STEEP LAPSE RATES COUPLED WITH THE FAVORABLE SHEAR
   ASSOCIATED WITH THE WIND MAX WILL SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
   BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  SURFACE TROUGH/COLD FRONT MOVING EWD ACROSS
   ND INTO MN BY FRIDAY NIGHT WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR STORM
   INITIATION.  ATTM DUE TO LIMITED MOISTURE EXPECTING STORMS TO
   PRIMARILY REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS WITH HAIL BEING A CONCERN DUE
   TO LOW FREEZING LEVELS.
   
   ...SRN HI PLAINS...
   
   RETURN FLOW AROUND CENTRAL U.S. HIGH BEGINS WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
   WORKING WWD TO NM SRN ROCKIES.  SUFFICIENT MID LEVEL FLOW AND STEEP
   LAPSE RATES FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP E/SEWD OFF THE
   HIGHER TERRAIN OF NM.  THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE
   UPGRADE IN LATER FORECASTS DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH INSTABILITY CAN
   DEVELOP.
    
   ..HALES.. 06/25/03
    
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1200Z
        
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