STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWK48 KWNS.
VALID 271200-281200
LESS THAN A SLIGHT RISK.
...SRN PLAINS...
STRONG TROUGH THAT WILL BE TRAVERSING THE CENTRAL U.S. NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND LIFT NEWD INTO SERN CANADA ON SAT.
IN ITS WAKE WNWLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL FROM THE PAC NW/SWRN CANADA
INTO THE GREAT LAKES. AN EMBEDDED S/WV TROUGH/WIND MAX MOVES ALONG
THE U.S. CANADIAN BORDER REACHING THE UPPER MS VALLEY LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT. WHILE MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...THE
COLD AIR ALOFT/STEEP LAPSE RATES COUPLED WITH THE FAVORABLE SHEAR
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WIND MAX WILL SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SURFACE TROUGH/COLD FRONT MOVING EWD ACROSS
ND INTO MN BY FRIDAY NIGHT WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR STORM
INITIATION. ATTM DUE TO LIMITED MOISTURE EXPECTING STORMS TO
PRIMARILY REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS WITH HAIL BEING A CONCERN DUE
TO LOW FREEZING LEVELS.
...SRN HI PLAINS...
RETURN FLOW AROUND CENTRAL U.S. HIGH BEGINS WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WORKING WWD TO NM SRN ROCKIES. SUFFICIENT MID LEVEL FLOW AND STEEP
LAPSE RATES FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP E/SEWD OFF THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF NM. THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE
UPGRADE IN LATER FORECASTS DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH INSTABILITY CAN
DEVELOP.
..HALES.. 06/25/03
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1200Z
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