SPC AC 111259
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0659 AM CST WED FEB 11 2004
   
   VALID 111300Z - 121200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 WNW MRF CNM 55 S
   CVS 10 WNW PVW 25 NE CDS 40 NW ADM 35 ENE PBF 20 NW BHM 40 SSE ATL
   10 ESE MCN 60 SSE MCN 15 NNW VLD 30 ENE AQQ.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER NM AND NWRN MEXICO WILL SHIFT EWD ACROSS
   TX TODAY DAMPENING OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY TONIGHT. AT THE SFC...A
   NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT WILL BEGIN TO LIFT NWD TODAY AS A WARM FRONT
   ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF SERN LA...MS...AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE. 
   
   
   ...E TX/SRN LA/SRN MS/SRN AL...
   SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A SFC LOW ORGANIZING IN THE NWRN GULF OF MEXICO.
   AS THE LOW DEEPENS TODAY...MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL STRENGTHEN ALONG
   THE GULF COASTAL AREAS. AS A RESULT...SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER TO
   MID 60S F SHOULD MOVE INLAND DURING THE DAY ALLOWING FOR SOME
   INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP MAINLY ACROSS SRN LA AND SRN MS. IN
   ADDITION...AN IMPULSE EMBEDDED IN WSWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL MOVE EWD
   ACROSS E TX INTO LA AND MS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL PROVIDE STRONG
   LIFT COUPLED WITH THE INSTABILITY FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
   THUNDERSTORMS TO SPREAD EWD ACROSS THE REGION. STRONG DEEP LAYER
   SHEAR AROUND 60 KT OVER THE REGION MAY PRESENT AN ISOLATED SEVERE
   THREAT. BUT MINIMAL INSTABILITY WILL KEEP IT MARGINAL. A MINIMAL
   TORNADO OR WIND DAMAGE THREAT WILL EXIST AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET FORMS
   OVER LA AND SHIFTS EWD ACROSS MS AND AL INCREASING THE LOW-LEVEL
   SHEAR DURING LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
   
   ..BROYLES/CROSBIE.. 02/11/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1630Z