SPC AC 032002
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0302 PM CDT MON MAY 03 2004
   
   VALID 032000Z - 041200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW GNV 40 NNW DAB
   ...CONT... 35 SSW CHS 40 E AGS 35 NW AGS 20 WNW AHN 25 NE GAD HSV 40
   NNW HSV 40 SSW BNA 40 ESE BNA 15 ENE HSS 20 N GSO 15 NE WAL.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE IML 35 NE AKO
   40 NNE LAR 40 SE RIW IDA 55 WSW MQM 15 SW 27U 50 N 27U 15 SW 3DU 30
   N HLN 45 WNW LWT 70 NW MLS 35 WSW Y22 35 SSW 9V9 30 SE BUB EAR 40 SW
   EAR 35 SSE IML.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...FL...
   A LINE OF CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY ONGOING ACROSS SRN FL AHEAD OF A
   COLD FRONT ADVANCING SLOWLY SEWD ACROSS CNTRL FL. SFC DEWPOINTS ARE
   IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S F AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY WHERE MODERATE
   INSTABILITY IS PRESENT. THIS WILL FUEL THE STORMS AS THEY DRIFT EWD
   ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SRN FL LATE THIS AFTERNOON. OBJECTIVE
   ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR IN PLACE WHICH WILL FAVOR
   MULTICELL CONVECTION WITH A MARGINAL POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZATION.  A
   FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE CONSIDERING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES ARE AROUND 7.0 C/KM. WARM MID-LEVEL TEMPS SHOULD LIMIT THE
   HAIL POTENTIAL.
   
   ...NRN ROCKIES/NRN HIGH PLAINS...
   THE RUC ANALYSIS CURRENTLY SHOWS A MINOR SHORTWAVE SUPERIMPOSED IN
   AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES. THIS FEATURE WILL DRIFT
   ESEWD ACROSS MT THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE NRN PLAINS OVERNIGHT.
   LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF THE WAVE WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT LIFT
   FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. OTHER STORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE HIGH
   TERRAIN OF THE NRN ROCKIES AND BLACK HILLS. THE CONVECTION WILL BE
   HIGH-BASED DUE TO THE DEEP MIXED LAYER IN PLACE. ALTHOUGH MODERATE
   DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION...THE WEAK
   INSTABILITY AND DRY AIR IN PLACE WILL LIMIT THE SEVERE POTENTIAL.
   
   ...NC/SC...
   A LARGE-SCALE UPPER TROUGH WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC
   COASTAL STATES TONIGHT. COLD AIR ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT INTO
   THE REGION AND THIS COMBINED WITH LIFT FROM THE TROUGH WILL BE
   SUFFICIENT FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SRN APPALACHIAN
   MTNS AND CAROLINAS. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK INSTABILITY IS IN
   PLACE AND THIS WILL LIMIT THE SEVERE POTENTIAL. AS THE TROUGH SHIFTS
   EWD OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT AND SFC TEMPS COOL...THE
   THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL DECREASE ACROSS THE REGION.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 05/03/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0100Z