Jun-29-2004 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Jun 29 00:33:42 UTC 2004
Categorical Graphic
20040629 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probablistic Tornado Graphic
20040629 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probablistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20040629 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probablistic Large Hail Graphic
20040629 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 290027
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0727 PM CDT MON JUN 28 2004
   
   VALID 290100Z - 291200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE PKB LBE 30 SW
   ELM 40 NE UCA 15 E GFL 10 WNW BAF 20 S EWR 35 ESE BWI 40 E CHO 40 SW
   EKN 15 SE PKB.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE ANJ 20 WSW PLN
   30 S ESC 25 NW RHI IWD.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW FHU FLG 40 NNE
   IGM 35 W SGU 70 E TPH TPH 45 SSE BIH 50 E FAT UKI 30 SE EKA 25 ENE
   4BK 50 NW RDM PDT 35 NNE 63S ...CONT... 50 WNW CTB GTF SHR 50 WNW
   CDR AKO 55 NNE CAO GAG 15 NNW HRO 35 NNE PBF 45 E RMG 10 WSW GSP 30
   SSE PSK 20 ESE ECG.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
   LOW CLOUDS INHIBITED HEATING/DESTABILIZATION ACROSS THE ERN CO
   PLAINS TODAY. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED OVER THE HIGHER
   TERRAIN...THE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER PREVENTED THE STORMS FROM
   INTENSIFYING AND BECOME SEVERE. THREAT OF SEVERE DEVELOPING THIS
   EVENING ALSO APPEARS MINIMAL.
   
   ...TX EWD ACROSS THE GULF COASTAL STATES...
   STRONG CONVECTION WAS LOCATED ALONG AND SOUTH OF A SURFACE BOUNDARY
   THAT EXTENDED FROM NRN TX EWD INTO CENTRAL GA. THUNDERSTORMS THAT
   DEVELOPED ALONG THE SEA BREEZE HAVE SURGED NWD INTO CENTRAL
   MS/CENTRAL AL. ALL OF THE STORMS SHOULD SLOWLY WEAKEN WITH LOSS OF
   DAYTIME HEATING AND ADDITIONAL COOLING FROM STORM OUTFLOWS. THE
   UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY FLOW MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WITH ANY
   EWD MOVING STORM...BUT THIS THREAT SHOULD ALSO BE OVER DURING THE
   NEXT HOUR OR SO.
   
   ...INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...
   SCATTERED CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA UNDER THE UPPER
   RIDGE. DESPITE THE WEAK SHEAR...SBCAPE VALUES FROM 1000-1500 J/KG
   AND THE DRY BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR STRONG WINDS. AN
   ISOLATED SEVERE GUST AND/OR HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE...BUT THIS THREAT
   SHOULD DIMINISH BY 03/04Z.
   
   ..IMY.. 06/29/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0600Z