SPC AC 250044
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0744 PM CDT TUE AUG 24 2004
   
   VALID 250100Z - 251200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE
   ELO DLH 65 N EAU 30 ESE RST 40 NNW BRL 40 WSW SPI 25 SSE VIH 35 NE
   JLN 20 SW SLN 40 SSW HLC 30 NE AKO 50 E SNY 40 NW BBW 35 NW OTG 10
   NW BRD 20 W INL.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W BUF 30 SW DUJ 25
   SSW SHD 20 SE GSO 45 SW SOP 30 SSW FLO 20 WNW CRE 25 WNW ILM 20 S
   EWN 30 SE EWN.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE YUM 45 WSW PRC
   30 NNW FLG 30 ESE U17 CNY 25 ENE PUC 30 NE U24 15 NW DPG 50 S BYI 15
   NE BYI 30 WNW IDA 60 NW 27U 30 SSW PDT 35 NNW YKM 20 NNE BLI.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW 7R4 10 ESE MLU
   30 NE PBF 60 NW LIT 35 W MKO 20 NE DDC 15 NW COS 60 NNE ALS 45 SSE
   ALS 40 SW TCC 40 W PVW 40 NW BGS 40 ENE BGS 15 N ABI 15 NNE BWD 45
   ENE JCT 10 NW DRT.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNE GGW BIL 25 WSW
   WRL 45 E RIW 10 WSW DGW 30 N CDR 20 WNW 9V9 35 SE JMS 40 SSE TVF 30
   ESE RRT.
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY REGION
   SWD INTO KS / MO...
   
   ...NERN KS / SERN NEB / SRN IA / NRN MO...
   MCS WHICH MOVED ACROSS SERN MO EARLIER HAS LEFT A REMNANT OUTFLOW
   BOUNDARY WHICH EXTENDS FROM SRN MO INTO NERN KS.  WITH LOW-LEVEL JET
   FORECAST TO INCREASE ACROSS THIS REGION...WARM ADVECTION /
   ISENTROPIC LIFT SHOULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD / SLIGHTLY ELEVATED
   STORMS OVER THIS REGION.
   
   WSWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW IS FORECAST TO INCREASE WITH TIME AS JET STREAK
   ASSOCIATED WITH ERN AZ / WRN NM SHORT-WAVE TROUGH CONTINUES MOVING
   EWD.  THIS COMBINED WITH INCREASING LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD SUGGESTS
   THAT STORMS WILL ORGANIZED -- LIKELY INTO AN MCS -- OVERNIGHT. MAIN
   SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY BE LARGE HAIL...ALTHOUGH LOCALLY DAMAGING
   WINDS ALONG WITH A TORNADO OR TWO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE --
   PARTICULARLY NEAR BOUNDARY WHERE SURFACE- OR NEAR SURFACE-BASED
   STORMS ARE MOST LIKELY.  CONVECTION SHOULD PERSIST / SHIFT EWD
   ACROSS THIS REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.
   
   ...MN / WRN WI...
   SCATTERED STORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG WIND SHIFT / SURFACE TROUGH
   EXTENDING FROM NEAR INL SSWWD TO FAR NWRN IA.  ALTHOUGH MARGINAL
   INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED / SUPERCELL
   STORMS SUGGESTS THAT LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS / HAIL WILL BE
   POSSIBLE...SLOWLY STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER WITH THE LOSS OF
   DAYTIME HEATING SUGGESTS THAT SEVERE THREAT SHOULD SLOWLY TAPER OFF
   AFTER SUNSET.
   
   ...WRN NEB SEWD INTO NRN KS...
   LIMITED INSTABILITY IS INDICATED ACROSS WRN NEB ATTM...WHERE
   SCATTERED / WEAK STORMS ARE ONGOING.  AS WARM ADVECTION INCREASES
   OVERNIGHT...STORMS MAY PERSIST EWD INTO MORE UNSTABLE AIRMASS. 
   SHOULD THIS OCCUR...A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE GIVEN
   DEEP-LAYER SHEAR LIKELY SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORMS.
   
   ..GOSS.. 08/25/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0600Z