Oct- 5-2004 0800 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Oct 5 06:32:33 UTC 2004
Categorical Graphic
20041005 0800 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probablistic Graphic
20041005 0800 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 050628
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0128 AM CDT TUE OCT 05 2004
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W ELP 60 S GNT 40
   W FMN 40 NNE CEZ ASE 45 ENE FCL 30 SSE FSD 30 NE RST 40 NW CGX 35 NW
   SPI 15 WNW COU 40 NNE JLN 30 NNW FSM 20 W TXK 25 E POE 30 SE HUM.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   TROUGH OVER SRN ROCKIES SHIFTS SLOWLY EWD INTO HIGH PLAINS BY END OF
   FORECAST PERIOD. LARGE SURFACE HIGH ERN U.S. WILL MAINTAIN A SLY
   FLOW OF GULF MOISTURE FROM SRN PLAINS NEWD TO MS RIVER VALLEY. 
   INSTABILITY  WILL BE GREATEST UNDER COLD AIR ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH
   TROUGH ERN NM INTO SWRN TX WITH REDUCED INSTABILITY FURTHER E WHERE
   EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER AND WEAKER LAPSE RATES WILL PREVAIL.
   
   THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE COMMON BY AFTERNOON FROM THE TROUGH AXIS EWD
   INTO CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS GIVEN THE INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
   ADVECTING NWD ON THE 25-35 KT LOW LEVEL JET.
   
   THERE WILL LIKELY BE A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOST ANYWHERE FROM
   THE TROUGH AXIS EWD INTO WRN OK/TX.  HOWEVER LACK OF COVERAGE AND
   SOME QUESTION ON THE STRENGTH OF THE UPPER SUPPORT PRECLUDES
   OUTLOOKING A RISK AREA ATTM.
   
   ..HALES.. 10/05/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1730Z