SPC AC 230552
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1152 PM CST MON NOV 22 2004
   
   VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW
   CGI 40 E MDH 30 NNW SDF 30 NNE LEX 25 WNW JKL 15 S LOZ 10 NW CSV 45
   NNW HSV 35 SSW MKL 35 WSW DYR 25 SSW CGI.
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW
   7R4 30 N MCB 25 WNW MEI 30 E 0A8 30 NE CSG 35 ENE MGR 20 E AQQ.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S LCH 25 SSW GWO
   40 N GWO 50 WSW MEM 50 SW ARG 25 SE UNO 50 N POF 15 SW MIE 20 NNE
   CLE ...CONT... 15 ENE EFK 35 SSW GON ...CONT... 15 NNW DAB 10 SSW
   PIE.
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE TN AND
   PORTIONS OF THE OH VALLEY...
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST
   REGION...
   
   ...TN VALLEY AND GULF COAST STATES...
   
   SRN PLAINS UPPER TROUGH WILL FINALLY EJECT INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY
   EARLY IN THE DAY2 PERIOD.  ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF STRONGER HEIGHT
   FALLS/MID LEVEL COOLING...IT APPEARS A NARROW AXIS OF SOMEWHAT
   STEEPER LAPSE RATES WILL ADVECT ACROSS THE TN VALLEY.  THIS SHOULD
   ENHANCE THERMAL PROFILES ACROSS AN OTHERWISE WEAK BACKGROUND
   ENVIRONMENT IN TERMS OF MOISTURE/INSTABILITY FROM WRN TN INTO
   CENTRAL KY.
   
   FARTHER SOUTH...POTENTIALLY MUCH WEAKER DEEP LAYER LAPSE RATES WILL
   EXTEND ACROSS THE GULF COAST REGION WHERE HIGHER MOISTURE VALUES AND
   STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL COINCIDE.
   
   LATE DAY1 SQUALL LINE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY DAY2
   PERIOD AS COLD FRONT ADVANCES EWD ACROSS THE MS VALLEY REGION. THIS
   ACTIVITY SHOULD PROPAGATE EWD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES INTO
   PROGRESSIVELY MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT. DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE
   PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WITH THIS SQUALL LINE...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED
   TORNADOES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.  A SECONDARY MAXIMUM OF
   STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF MAIN SFC LOW WHERE
   STEEPER LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT STRONGER UPDRAFTS.
   
   ..DARROW.. 11/23/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z