Nov-29-2004 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Nov 29 17:32:30 UTC 2004
Categorical Graphic
20041129 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probablistic Graphic
20041129 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 291730
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1130 AM CST MON NOV 29 2004
   
   VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NW LRD SAT 15 NW
   ACT 25 SE DUA 35 ESE FYV 30 N POF 30 SW BMG 40 NE FDY 35 SW ERI 25
   ENE PSB 25 NNW BWI 40 ENE DAN 30 ENE AGS 10 WSW AQQ.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...GULF COAST...
   
   INTENSE UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL LIFT NEWD ACROSS THE MS VALLEY
   INTO THE OH VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD AS SPEED MAX WELL IN EXCESS OF
   100KT EJECTS DOWNSTREAM.  VERY STRONG HEIGHT FALLS WILL PRECEDE THIS
   FEATURE...ALTHOUGH ONLY PARTIALLY INFLUENCING THE NRN GULF COAST
   STATES WITH WEAKER ZONE OF ASCENT.  IT APPEARS CONVECTION WILL
   DEVELOP ALONG/BEHIND THE TRAILING COLD FRONT FROM NRN MS...SWWD INTO
   SERN TX.  THIS ACTIVITY MAY TEND TO BE POST-FRONTAL AND ELEVATED IN
   NATURE DUE TO THE INHIBITION AND WEAK LAPSE RATES ALONG THIS ZONE. 
   DESPITE THE RETURN OF MODIFIED MARITIME AIRMASS INTO THIS
   REGION...MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL ULTIMATELY LIMIT THE OVERALL
   SEVERE THREAT EVEN WITHIN THE STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.  GUSTY
   WINDS MAY BE THE GREATEST THREAT WITH ANY STORMS THAT CAN ROOT JUST
   OFF THE SURFACE.
   
   ..DARROW.. 11/29/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0800Z