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Jan- 2-2004 1200 UTC Day 3 Convective Outlook
Categorical Graphic
1200 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
      
Probabilistic Graphic (more info)
1200 Day 3 Prob Graphic
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   SPC AC 021000
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0400 AM CST FRI JAN 02 2004
   
   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   STRONG...FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE
   MID MS VALLEY BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WHILE DEEP SURFACE LOW TRACKS
   ACROSS THE LOWER OH VALLEY.  ETA/GFS DIFFER IN TIMING AND POSITION
   OF LOW...WITH GFS FASTER AND FARTHER NORTH.  IN EITHER
   CASE...RELATIVELY WARM/MOIST LOW LEVEL AIRMASS WILL EXIST IN WARM
   SECTOR OF LOW OVER PARTS OF KY/IND/OH. DESPITE AN APPARENT LACK OF
   INSTABILITY /FORECAST MUCAPE VALUES AOB 500 J/KG/...APPROACH OF 100+
   KNOT MID LEVEL SPEED MAX MAY HELP TO ORGANIZE CONVECTION NEAR THE
   SURFACE LOW.  WILL INCLUDE LOW PROBABILITIES OF SEVERE STORMS ALONG
   THIS AXIS...AND WILL MONITOR IN LATER UPDATES FOR MORE INSTABILITY
   AND POSSIBLE UPGRADE.
   
   ..HART.. 01/02/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1200Z
        
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