SPC AC 170856
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0356 AM CDT THU JUN 17 2004
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
PLAINS...ACROSS THE MID MS/OH/TN VALLEYS...INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES...
...MID MS VALLEY...TN/OH VALLEYS...MID ATLANTIC REGION...
ETA/GFS SOLUTIONS AGREE ON DEVELOPING A STRONGER BROAD TROUGH OVER
THE GREAT LAKES REGION ON SATURDAY. THIS TROUGH WILL MOVE EASTWARD
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH LOWERING HEIGHTS AND
STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL WINDS ACROSS THE OH/TN VALLEYS AND MID
ATLANTIC STATES. SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THESE AREAS DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD...LIKELY PROVIDING A FOCUS
FOR SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. GFS SOLUTION SUGGESTS
AXIS OF STRONG STORMS COULD BE FARTHER NORTHEAST INTO NY/PA AND NEW
ENGLAND...SO WILL INCLUDE LOW PROBABILITIES IN THAT REGION AS WELL.
...HIGH PLAINS...
YET ANOTHER DAY OF UPSLOPE FLOW AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL OCCUR
OVER NORTHEAST NM AND SOUTHEAST CO. SURFACE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
SAG SLOWLY SOUTHWARD INTO NORTH TX...REINFORCED BY DIURNAL
CONVECTION ON DAY1 AND DAY2. STORMS WILL LIKELY MOVE OFF THE HIGH
PLAINS INTO WESTERN OK AND NORTHWEST TX BEFORE WEAKENING.
..HART.. 06/17/2004
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1200Z
|