SPC AC 310930
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0330 AM CST SUN OCT 31 2004
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
CONSENSUS AMONG THE GLOBAL MODELS IS THAT THE MID LEVEL TROUGH NOW
DIGGING SEWD OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL MOVE EWD TUESDAY FROM THE SRN
PLAINS TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY/SE STATES. THIS TROUGH SHOULD LOSE
AMPLITUDE AND BECOME MORE POSITIVELY TILTED WHILE ENCOUNTERING A
PERSISTENT RIDGE OVER THE FL AREA. AS A RESULT OF THE WEAKENING MID
LEVEL TROUGH...THE SURFACE COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED BAND OF ASCENT
SHOULD ALSO WEAKEN WITH TIME. A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...BUT A NARROWING OF THE UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR
AND DIMINISHING WIND FIELDS SUGGEST THAT ANY SEVERE STORM THREAT
WILL BECOME MORE MARGINAL WITH TIME.
..THOMPSON.. 10/31/2004
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1100Z
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