Oct-31-2004 1100 UTC Day 3 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Oct 31 09:32:29 UTC 2004
Categorical Graphic
20041031 1100 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probablistic Graphic
20041031 1100 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 310930
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0330 AM CST SUN OCT 31 2004
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   CONSENSUS AMONG THE GLOBAL MODELS IS THAT THE MID LEVEL TROUGH NOW
   DIGGING SEWD OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL MOVE EWD TUESDAY FROM THE SRN
   PLAINS TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY/SE STATES.  THIS TROUGH SHOULD LOSE
   AMPLITUDE AND BECOME MORE POSITIVELY TILTED WHILE ENCOUNTERING A
   PERSISTENT RIDGE OVER THE FL AREA.  AS A RESULT OF THE WEAKENING MID
   LEVEL TROUGH...THE SURFACE COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED BAND OF ASCENT
   SHOULD ALSO WEAKEN WITH TIME.  A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
   ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...BUT A NARROWING OF THE UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR
   AND DIMINISHING WIND FIELDS SUGGEST THAT ANY SEVERE STORM THREAT
   WILL BECOME MORE MARGINAL WITH TIME.
   
   ..THOMPSON.. 10/31/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1100Z