SPC AC 230759
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0159 AM CST THU DEC 23 2004
VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
ERN U.S. TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE MORE QUICKLY EWD / NEWD ACROSS
THE ERN CONUS...WHILE UPSTREAM TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING
THE WRN U.S. THIS PERIOD. SHORT-WAVE TROUGH -- INITIALLY EXPECTED
OVER TX / MEXICO -- IS FORECAST TO MOVE EWD ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO THROUGH THE PERIOD.
AT THE SURFACE...COLD FRONT WHICH SHOULD BE LINGERING NEAR OR JUST S
OF THE FL PENINSULA MAY WOBBLE SLIGHTLY NWD AS SHORT-WAVE TROUGH
CROSSES THE GULF...SUGGESTING A LIMITED POSSIBILITY FOR CONVECTION
OVER S FL -- PARTICULARLY LATE IN THE PERIOD.
...S FL...
THOUGH COLD FRONT -- AND MORE FAVORABLE BOUNDARY-LAYER AIRMASS --
SHOULD REMAIN S OF THE PENINSULA THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD...IT
APPEARS ATTM THAT BOUNDARY MAY DRIFT NWD INTO S FL LATER IN THE
PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO GULF VORT MAX.
SHOULD THIS SCENARIO PAN OUT...COMBINATION OF INCREASING FLOW ALOFT
OVER MORE MOIST / UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER COULD ALLOW A FEW SEVERE
STORMS TO DEVELOP AS FAR N AS S FL LATER IN THE PERIOD.
..GOSS.. 12/23/2004
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1100Z
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