Jan-15-2005 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Jan 15 12:49:49 UTC 2005
Categorical Graphic
20050115 1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probablistic Tornado Graphic
20050115 1300 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probablistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20050115 1300 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probablistic Large Hail Graphic
20050115 1300 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 151245
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0645 AM CST SAT JAN 15 2005
   
   VALID 151300Z - 161200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM EYW 45 WNW MIA 30 N
   PBI.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   THE COLD FRONT HAS STALLED JUST SE OF SRN FL.  LOW LEVEL WARM
   ADVECTION NOTED ON 12Z EYW SOUNDING WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT LIFT FOR
   WEAK CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL VICINITY AND JUST N OF FRONT THRU THE
   FORECAST PERIOD.  WHILE WEAK LAPSE RATES ARE NOTED IN THE 12Z
   SOUNDINGS...GRADUAL MID LEVEL COOLING COUPLED WITH SURFACE HEATING
   COULD RESULT IN  FEW STORMS DEVELOPING INLAND S FL.
   
   ..HALES.. 01/15/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z