Jan-18-2005 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Jan 18 12:53:50 UTC 2005
Categorical Graphic
20050118 1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probablistic Tornado Graphic
20050118 1300 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probablistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20050118 1300 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probablistic Large Hail Graphic
20050118 1300 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 181246
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0646 AM CST TUE JAN 18 2005
   
   VALID 181300Z - 191200Z.
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   UPPER PATTERN TODAY WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A FLAT RIDGE OVER THE
   WESTERN STATES...AND A DEPARTING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NORTHEAST. 
   RELATIVELY DRY/STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE ORGANIZED
   THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE UNITED STATES TODAY.  THE ONLY AREA
   WITH A REMOTE CHANCE OF ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES THIS
   AFTERNOON/EVENING WILL BE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MT IN REGION
   OF STEEP LAPSE RATES AND INCREASING UVVS.  HOWEVER...THIS RISK
   APPEARS TOO LOW TO WARRANT A OUTLOOK AREA.
   
   ..HART.. 01/18/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z