Jan-31-2005 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 31 16:34:01 UTC 2005
Categorical Graphic
20050131 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20050131 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20050131 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20050131 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 311626
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1026 AM CST MON JAN 31 2005
   
   VALID 311630Z - 011200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM DRT TPL 40 S SHV HEZ
   45 NNE MSY BVE.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER AZ/NM AND NORTHERN
   MEXICO DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH BAND OF STRONG
   SOUTHWESTERLY MID LEVEL WINDS ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES.  SURFACE
   AIR MASS IS STABLE ALONG THE TX/LA GULF COAST. HOWEVER...PLUME OF
   MOIST AND MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR ALOFT...COUPLED WITH WEAK WARM
   ADVECTION AND LIFT WILL MAINTAIN A RISK OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
   THUNDERSTORMS IN THIS REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.  NO ORGANIZED SEVERE
   STORMS ARE FORECAST.
   
   ..HART.. 01/31/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z