Feb- 3-2005 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Feb 3 19:36:06 UTC 2005
Categorical Graphic
20050203 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20050203 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20050203 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20050203 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 031931
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0131 PM CST THU FEB 03 2005
   
   VALID 032000Z - 041200Z.
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...NRN FL...
   COLD FRONT IS MAKING SWD PROGRESS INTO NRN FL THIS AFTERNOON WITH
   ASSOCIATED BROKEN BAND OF SHOWERS.  PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS
   CHARACTERIZED BY UPPER 60S TEMPERATURES AND UPPER 50S DEW POINTS
   ONLY GIVES AROUND 150 J/KG MUCAPE GIVEN POOR MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. 
   WEAK THERMAL BUOYANCY AND WEAKENING SURFACE CONVERGENCE WILL
   PRECLUDE SUFFICIENT TSTM PROBABILITIES FOR A GENERAL TSTM OUTLOOK.
   
   ..RACY.. 02/03/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z