SPC AC 100044
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0644 PM CST WED FEB 09 2005
   
   VALID 100100Z - 101200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE SAV AQQ
   ...CONT... 40 W PFN MGM ATL HSS TRI 25 SSW SSU CHO WAL.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PROGRESSIVE UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER
   CONUS...CHARACTERIZED PRIMARILY BY STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSING
   GREAT LAKES...MID/UPPER MS VALLEY AND OH VALLEY.  ASSOCIATED SFC
   COLD FRONT -- NOW ANALYZED FROM WEAK CYCLONE OVER SERN PA SWWD
   ACROSS ERN TN AND SWRN AL -- IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EWD ACROSS
   APPALACHIANS AND PIEDMONT THROUGH REMAINDER PERIOD.  MEANWHILE SFC
   LOW SHOULD MOVE NEWD ACROSS MID ATLANTIC STATES TOWARD SWRN PORTIONS
   NEW ENGLAND.
   
   ...SERN CONUS...
   GEN TSTM AREA HAS BECOME MARGINAL BECAUSE OF WEAK INSTABILITY AHD
   SHOULD REMAIN SO THROUGH REST OF PERIOD.  AS SFC LOW EJECTS
   NEWD...ALREADY WEAK CONVERGENCE INVOF FRONTAL ZONE IS EXPECTED TO
   DIMINISH FURTHER...GIVEN LACK OF SUBSTANTIAL ISALLOBARIC FORCING. 
   ANY REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION SHOULD BE ROOTED ABOVE BOUNDARY LAYER
   GIVEN LOW THETAE NEAR SFC.  ACTIVITY SHOULD BE ISOLATED IN COVERAGE
   AND BRIEF/SPORADIC IN TEMPORAL DISTRIBUTION.  ELEVATED MUCAPES WILL
   REMAIN GENERALLY AOB 200 J/KG MOST AREAS...AND SHALLOW POCKETS OF
   MIDLEVEL STABILITY SAMPLED BY 00Z GSO/FFC SOUNDINGS INDICATE TSTM
   COVERAGE WILL BE QUITE LIMITED.
   
   ..EDWARDS.. 02/10/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z