SPC AC 120100
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0700 PM CST FRI FEB 11 2005
   
   VALID 120100Z - 121200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM OXR EDW 35 NE DAG IGM
   PRC 45 SE DMN.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PROGRESSIVE PATTERN ALOFT CONTINUES ACROSS CONUS.  MIDDLE/UPPER
   LEVEL LOW -- NOW WELL DEFINED IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER SRN
   CA CHANNEL ISLANDS -- IS FCST TO MOVE INLAND TOWARD LAS BY END OF
   PERIOD.  AT SFC...STABLE/LOW-THETAE AIR MASS ASSOCIATED WITH
   PRONOUNCED CONTINENTAL HIGH CENTERED OVER WRN/CENTRAL GULF COAST
   WILL PREVENT SIGNIFICANT AIR MASS DESTABILIZATION AND TSTM POTENTIAL
   E OF ROCKIES TONIGHT.  SFC CYCLONE IS VERTICALLY STACKED WITH UPPER
   AIR LOW OVER SRN CA COASTAL WATERS AND LIKEWISE WILL MOVE INLAND
   NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
   
   ...SWRN CONUS...
   WHILE ROGUE LIGHTNING STRIKE CANNOT BE RULED OUT ALMOST ANYWHERE S
   AND W OF 4-CORNERS TONIGHT...PRIND GREATEST PROBABILITIES WILL BE
   FROM SRN CA EWD ACROSS LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY AND SRN AZ.  MOST
   UNSTABLE 00Z RAOBS WERE AT TUS AND SAN...WITH MUCAPES 100-200 J/KG. 
   MOST OF THIS CAPE WAS EVIDENT WELL BELOW IDEAL THERMAL REGIONS FOR 
   ICING/CHARGE-SEPARATION.  EXCEPTION HAS BEEN CLOSER TO COLD CORE OF
   UPPER LOW WHERE SPORADIC STRIKES HAVE BEEN NOTED PAST 6-9
   HOURS...AND WHERE MIDLEVEL COOLING SHOULD BE STRONGER THAN THAT
   SAMPLED AT SAN.  THAT REGIME SHOULD SHIFT INLAND WITH MIDLEVEL
   THERMAL TROUGH.  ADDITIONAL LOW LEVEL DESTABILIZATION ALSO IS
   POSSIBLE WITH CONTINUED WAA FARTHER E ACROSS BORDER
   LANDS...THEREFORE WILL MAINTAIN MARGINAL TSTM AREA THERE.
   
   ..EDWARDS.. 02/12/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z