Apr- 3-2005 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Updated: Sun Apr 3 05:20:06 UTC 2005
|
|||||||||||
SPC AC 030517 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1117 PM CST SAT APR 02 2005 VALID 031200Z - 041200Z GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE RRT 45 WNW AXN 25 ESE ABR 40 NNW PIR 55 SSE 81V 10 SSW CPR 20 SE RKS 45 NE U24 55 S ELY 50 ESE FAT 50 S MRY. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW PBG 40 WNW GFL 15 SW MSV 40 W ABE 25 WSW IPT 25 ENE BFD 20 SSW BUF. ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST... AMPLIFICATION OF LARGE-SCALE PATTERN IS FORECAST ACROSS THE CONUS THROUGH THE DAY 1 PERIOD AS DEEP...MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW LIFTS NEWD INTO NEW ENGLAND AND ERN PACIFIC TROUGH DIGS SEWD INTO GREAT BASIN. IN THE LOW-LEVELS...OCCLUDED SURFACE CYCLONE WILL CONCURRENTLY DEVELOP NNEWD THROUGH THE HUDSON RIVER VALLEY INTO WRN NEW ENGLAND. FARTHER W...LEE CYCLOGENESIS IS FORECAST OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS REGION WITH WARM FRONT INTENSIFYING FROM THIS LOW SEWD INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST...AND COLD FRONT PUSHING EWD INTO THE NRN/CNTRL ROCKIES. DEEP-LAYER FORCING FOR ASCENT DOWNSTREAM FROM MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW IN CONJUNCTION WITH PROXIMITY OF MID-LEVEL COLD POOL WILL SUPPORT A FEW TSTMS TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NRN PA INTO WRN/CNTRL NY. ELSEWHERE... INCREASING HEIGHT FALLS AND RESULTANT STEEPENING OF MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO LEAD TO AN EWD EXPANSION IN TSTM COVERAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD FROM THE PACIFIC NW/NRN GREAT BASIN EWD INTO THE NRN ROCKIES. ADDITIONAL MORE ELEVATED TSTMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP TONIGHT N OF SURFACE WARM FRONT OVER PORTIONS OF NRN PLAINS WITHIN INTENSIFYING LOW-LEVEL WAA REGIME. ..MEAD/TAYLOR.. 04/03/2005 ...NOTICE... THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1... WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005 CONVECTIVE SEASON. A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS) WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION. CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z |