SPC AC 022002
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0302 PM CDT MON MAY 02 2005
   
   VALID 022000Z - 031200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE ELP 35 ESE TCS
   SOW IGM 60 NW NID 45 NE SCK 45 WSW RBL 45 SSW OTH ...CONT... 60 E
   BLI 35 WSW EAT 40 SSE YKM 20 W ALW 20 NNW GEG 55 NE GEG 25 W MSO 30
   NE 27U MQM OGD 50 N PUC 50 ESE ASE TAD 50 WSW CVS HOB BGS JCT HDO 65
   SSE LRD.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM ACY ILG IPT SYR SLK
   BML 30 SE AUG.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM SRQ MLB.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PATTERN WILL BE DOMINATED FOR REMAINDER DAY-1 BY LARGE CYCLONE OVER
   ERN CANADA...AS NUMEROUS LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVES ROTATE THROUGH
   UPPER MIDWEST...GREAT LAKES AND MID ATLANTIC REGIONS.  ONE OF THESE
   TROUGHS -- NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY FROM LE SWD
   ACROSS WRN NC -- IS FCST TO ACCELERATE NEWD...DEAMPLIFY SOMEWHAT AND
   MOVE OFFSHORE MID ATLANTIC TONIGHT.  SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS PRIMARY COLD
   FRONT OVER NWRN ATLANTIC WELL OFFSHORE FROM COAST...EXCEPT WHERE
   TRAILING ACROSS CENTRAL FL AS QUASISTATIONARY BOUNDARY.  SECONDARY
   COLD FRONT IS MOVING EWD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND MID-ATLANTIC
   REGION...AND ALSO WILL MOVE OFFSHORE TONIGHT AS MIDLEVEL TROUGH
   PASSES OVERHEAD.
   
   ...SW TX - RIO GRANDE VALLEY AREA...
   VIS IMAGERY SHOWS DENSE STRATUS DECK PERSISTING -- GENERALLY OVER
   AND W OF RIO GRANDE FROM BRO-DRT...THEN NWWD UP PECOS VALLEY AND
   OVER MOST OF ERN NM.  BOUNDARY LAYER STABILITY SHOULD BE MAINTAINED
   AS LOW CLOUDS RESTRICT SFC HEATING FOR REMAINDER AFTERNOON...EXCEPT
   ON HIGHEST TERRAIN OF NRN COAHUILA AND WRN TRANS-PECOS REGION. MOST
   FAVORABLE SFC DEW POINTS WILL BE FROM MOUTH OF PECOS RIVER SEWD
   ALONG MEX MOUNTAIN FRONT AND FOOTHILLS.  ALTHOUGH STRONG/BRIEFLY
   SEVERE TSTMS MAY STILL DEVELOP OVER SERRANIAS DEL BURRO RANGE W
   DRT...PRIND RISK OF SEVERE IS TOO SMALL FOR 5 PERCENT OR GREATER
   PROBABILITIES BY THE TIME SUCH ACTIVITY CROSSES OVER 70-100 NM OF
   STRATIFIED BOUNDARY LAYER TO REACH BORDER.
   
   ...CENTRAL/SRN FL...
   VIS IMAGERY SHOWS SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES MOVING INLAND FROM BOTH
   COASTS...POSSIBLY INTERSECTING BY ABOUT 22-23Z ALONG AXIS FROM
   KISSIMMEE VALLEY ACROSS OKEECHOBEE REGION INTO EVERGLADES.  ISOLATED
   TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THESE BOUNDARIES...WITH
   MLCAPES 1000-2000 J/KG...HOWEVER SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS MINIMAL
   AMIDST VERY WEAK LOW LEVEL FLOW/SHEAR.
   
   ..EDWARDS.. 05/02/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
   SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
   WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
   IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
   CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
   WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z