SPC AC 260026
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0726 PM CDT MON JUL 25 2005
   
   VALID 260100Z - 261200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ESE
   MTC 15 NE MFD 30 SW FDY 15 NE BMI 35 WNW UIN 10 SSE FLV 35 NE DDC 45
   NW GCK 40 SSE LIC 25 WNW LIC 15 ESE FCL 40 ENE CYS 20 NNW LBF 25 ESE
   BBW OLU 50 NE MSP 45 SE ANJ.
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW
   HTS 35 NNW SSU 20 S LBE 25 ESE AOO 15 W BWI 35 NNE RIC 40 S RIC 15
   ESE DAN 45 WNW GSO 30 SE 5I3 25 NW 5I3 25 SSW HTS.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NW HVR 45 NW MLS
   35 N DIK 40 E DVL 40 E TVF 45 WNW CMX 65 ENE CMX 15 SE ANJ
   ...CONT... 30 SSE LRD 25 SE CRP 45 NW BPT 10 NNW GGG 15 ENE PGO SGF
   15 S CNU 10 WSW ICT 25 ESE GAG 40 ESE PVW 25 NNW MAF 90 SSW P07
   ...CONT... 15 SW CZZ 35 WNW TRM 60 WSW DRA 60 N DRA 45 NNW P38 25
   SSE DPG 50 NNE BPI 60 SW MQM 55 WNW 27U 65 ENE 63S.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW PIE 10 NE VRB
   ...CONT... 20 ESE ILM 45 NW FLO 25 NW CAE 25 ENE MCN 20 E ABY 30 ENE
   AQQ ...CONT... 65 N BUF 10 NNE BUF JHW 25 WSW BFD 15 NNW DUJ 10 NW
   AVP 20 NNW POU 30 NNE PBG.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW JAN 30 W TCL 10
   NW LOZ 35 N SDF 45 ENE MVN 25 ENE POF 20 ENE LIT 35 N MLU 30 NW JAN.
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TONIGHT FROM PORTIONS OF THE
   CNTRL HIGH PLAINS NEWD INTO THE CNTRL GREAT LAKES...
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS CNTRL APPALACHIANS INTO THE
   DELMARVA...
   
   ...CNTRL HIGH PLAINS NEWD INTO THE CNTRL GREAT LAKES...
   LATEST MESOANALYSIS INDICATED SURFACE LOW SE OF RST WITH ATTENDANT
   WARM FRONT EXTENDING ESEWD ACROSS FAR SRN WI INTO SRN LOWER MI.
   MEANWHILE...TRAILING COLD FRONT EXTENDED SWWD THROUGH E-CNTRL NEB
   AND INTO E-CNTRL CO. ALOFT...EVENING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND PLAN
   VIEW VWP/PROFILER PLOT SHOWS LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH
   TRANSLATING ENEWD ACROSS ERN SD INTO SWRN MN...EMBEDDED WITHIN
   MODESTLY STRONG /I.E. 30-40 KTS/ WSWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW FROM ERN
   NEB/SERN SD INTO THE CNTRL GREAT LAKES.
   
   NUMEROUS TSTMS ARE IN PROGRESS THIS EVENING ALONG/N OF WARM FRONT
   OVER SERN MN INTO CNTRL/NRN MN...SOME OF WHICH HAVE EXHIBITED
   MID-LEVEL ROTATION OWING TO LOCALLY STRONGER LOW-LEVEL SHEAR N OF
   FRONTAL ZONE. POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL PERSIST
   OVERNIGHT WITH ANY STORMS THAT CAN REMAIN MORE DISCRETE WHILE
   RESIDING IN ZONE OF STRONGER SHEAR AHEAD OF RETREATING WARM FRONT
   AND MIGRATORY SURFACE LOW. HOWEVER...EVOLUTION OF MORE LEWP-TYPE
   STRUCTURE FROM E OF MSP SWD TO THE IA BORDER SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL
   FOR THE EVOLUTION OF A BOW ECHO ON COOL SIDE OF WARM FRONT WHICH
   WOULD PROPAGATE EWD WITH A THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS SHIFTING EWD
   INTO LOWER MI OVERNIGHT.
   
   FARTHER TO THE SW...SOLID CONVECTIVE LINE HAS FORMED ALONG TRAILING
   COLD FRONT FROM N-CNTRL IA INTO N-CNTRL KS. STEEP LOW/MID-LEVEL
   LAPSE RATES WITHIN IMMEDIATE INFLOW AIR MASS COUPLED WITH
   ORGANIZING/MERGING COLD POOLS SUGGEST THE THREAT FOR PRIMARILY
   DAMAGING WINDS SHIFTING EWD ACROSS IA AND NERN KS OVER THE NEXT
   SEVERAL HOURS. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH MOST
   INTENSE STORMS.
   
   ...CNTRL APPALACHIANS INTO THE DELMARVA...
   LONG-LIVED MCS HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST HOUR OR SO AS
   IT ENCOUNTERED HIGHER ELEVATION OF WV. MODERATE TO STRONGLY UNSTABLE
   AIR MASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE VA PIEDMONT EWD TO CHESAPEAKE BAY MAY
   SUPPORT STORM REDEVELOPMENT OR REINTENSIFICATION ALONG LEADING EDGE
   OF MCS GUST FRONT. POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS WILL EXIST WITH
   STRONGEST STORMS IN ADDITION TO ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.
   
   ..MEAD.. 07/26/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
   SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
   WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
   IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
   CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
   WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z