Aug 12, 2005 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Updated: Fri Aug 12 20:12:12 UTC 2005
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SPC AC 122009 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0309 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2005 VALID 122000Z - 131200Z THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE COD 20 ESE SHR 10 NE RAP 55 WNW VTN 20 WSW MHN 35 NW IML 35 E FCL 20 SSE LAR 55 SW DGW 25 NW RIW 50 ENE COD. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE ROC 10 SW ALB 20 WSW BDL 25 ENE ISP ...CONT... 20 SW JFK 15 SSW PSB 15 ENE IND 30 S MTO 20 NW ALN 15 ENE UIN 10 SE MMO 25 WSW JXN 10 SSW MTC. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM CZZ 60 SW LAS 10 N TPH 20 WNW ELY 30 W U24 15 ESE SLC 30 WSW JAC 40 WNW SUN 40 NNE BKE 10 NNE EPH 35 NNE 4OM ...CONT... 70 NW FCA 30 NNE HLN 65 WSW MLS 45 SW DIK 35 NW HON 25 NE YKN 45 NNE OMA 35 WNW OTM 40 ENE MLI GRR OSC. ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS WY AND VICINITY... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SWRN NEW ENGLAND WWD INTO CENTRAL IL... ...WY / HIGH PLAINS OF SWRN SD / THE NEB PANHANDLE... THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY S OF SECONDARY COLD SURGE / WITHIN LOW-LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW ACROSS WY AND PARTS OF SWRN MT. WITH 40 KT MID-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THIS REGION AND VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT...SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS EXISTS. GREATEST SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO EXIST ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NRN WY...WHERE DAYTIME HEATING HAS CONTRIBUTED TO MODERATE DESTABILIZATION. DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SCATTERED TO ISOLATED SUPERCELLS ACROSS THIS REGION...WITH THREAT POSSIBLY CONTINUING TROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING. FOR THE LATEST SHORT-TERM INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO SWOMCD #1969. ...SWRN NEW ENGLAND WWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST / OH VALLEY STATES... MODERATE / MAINLY UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW FIELD EXISTS INVOF COLD FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM LOWER MI WSWWD INTO NRN MO / KS...AND EWD INTO PA / NY / SRN NEW ENGLAND. STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP / MOVE EWD INVOF COLD FRONT FROM KS INTO INDIANA...WITH ANOTHER AREA OF STORMS NOW OVER PA / NY SW OF SURFACE WARM FRONT. THOUGH SEVERE THREAT SHOULD DECREASE LATER THIS EVENING / OVERNIGHT WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD PERSIST INTO EARLY EVENING WITH THESE STORMS. ..GOSS.. 08/12/2005 ...NOTICE... THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1... WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005 CONVECTIVE SEASON. A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS) WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION. CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z |