Sep 2, 2005 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Updated: Fri Sep 2 01:04:08 UTC 2005
|
|||||||||||
SPC AC 020101 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0801 PM CDT THU SEP 01 2005 VALID 020100Z - 021200Z GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW FHU 55 NE BLH 20 NNE EED 20 WNW LAS 50 NE DRA 15 NNW P38 25 W BCE 25 SSE 4BL ALS 30 N COS 60 ENE DGW 25 W RAP 50 NW VTN 35 ESE ANW 20 SSW OFK 45 NE FNB 30 SSW IRK 35 ENE COU 20 S UNO 50 SW JLN 35 S PNC 55 N CDS 35 SE CVS 30 NW CNM 45 SE ELP. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S LRD 30 NW NIR 45 W HOU 15 NE GLS. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM SRQ 10 SE VRB. ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... CORRECTED FOR CATEGORICAL GRAPHIC ...SRN HIGH PLAINS... A COUPLE MULTICELL TSTM CLUSTERS HAVE ACCUMULATED A SUFFICIENT COLD POOL TO BEGIN PROPAGATING SEWD INTO ECNTRL NM AND THE TX/OK PNHDLS. SELY UPSLOPE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE A LITTLE THIS EVENING AND MAY FEED THE TSTMS WITH MODEST INSTABILITY THROUGH LATE EVENING. STRONGER UPDRAFTS MAY PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL OR A DAMAGING WIND GUST...BUT WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. ...CNTRL PLAINS... RECENT SATL AND RADAR SHOW THAT TSTMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP N OF THE SWRN KS TSTM CLUSTER. THIS TREND OF INCREASING CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE...ESPECIALLY LATER TONIGHT AS THETA-E ADVECTION INCREASES ON THE NOSE OF THE LLJ. FAVORED ZONE FOR TSTMS WILL LIKELY EXIST ALONG/N OF H85 FRONT FROM WRN NEB SEWD INTO WRN MO. MODEST ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND AT LEAST 30-40 KTS OF CLOUD-BEARING SHEAR MAY AUGMENT HAIL PRODUCTION AND ISOLD SEVERE TSTMS MAY OCCUR...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NRN KS/SRN NEB. ..RACY.. 09/02/2005 ...NOTICE... THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1... WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005 CONVECTIVE SEASON. A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS) WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION. CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z |