SPC AC 300047
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0747 PM CDT THU SEP 29 2005
   
   VALID 300100Z - 301200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM LBB ALM 55 NE SAD GUP
   55 WSW MTJ ASE COS PUB TAD 35 NNE CAO EHA 60 SW GAG LBB.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSE DRT COT VCT
   HOU LCH LFT GPT MCN 45 SSW CLT 50 ENE ECG.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   NRN STREAM PATTERN IS IN TRANSITION TO ZONAL ORIENTATION AS MAJOR
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTS OUT OF NEW ENGLAND...AND ACROSS CANADIAN
   MARITIME.  FARTHER SW...MID-UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT HAD BEEN CUT-OFF
   AND QUASISTATIONARY ABOUT THE 4-CORNERS REGION FOR A COUPLE
   DAYS...HAS BEGUN TO EJECT EWD BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE ANIMATIONS. 
   CENTER OF THIS CYCLONE SHOULD REACH RATON MESA AREA BY 30/12Z.
   
   NERN CONUS SEGMENT OF SFC COLD FRONT...AND ACCOMPANYING LINE OF
   FORCED-ASCENT CONVECTION WITH LITTLE OR NO CG LIGHTNING...HAS MOVED
   E OF DOWNEAST MAINE AND NO LONGER IS A FACTOR IN THIS OUTLOOK. 
   FARTHER SW...FRONT IS MOVING SEWD ACROSS CAROLINAS/GA...ACCOMPANIED
   AND PRECEDED BY ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED NON-SVR TSTMS.  FRONT
   IS MOVING OFF LOWER-MIDDLE TX COAST AND SHOULD BECOME
   QUASISTATIONARY TONIGHT OVER DEEP S TX...AS WA REGIME COMMENCES
   FARTHER NW IN ASSOCIATION WITH EJECTING SRN ROCKIES SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH.
   
   ...NM...
   WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EWD AND NEWD ACROSS MUCH
   OF NM EXCEPT FOR EXTREME SRN PORTIONS...WITH A FEW HIGH-BASED TSTMS
   MOVING INTO SOUTH PLAINS OF W TX.  MIDLEVEL SPEED MAX AND LOW LEVEL
   SLYS/ELYS COMBINE TO YIELD WIND PROFILE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS
   OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL/ERN NM PER VWP/PROFILER DATA AND RUC
   SOUNDINGS.  HOWEVER THERMODYNAMIC PARAMETERS NEAR SFC HAVE PEAKED
   AND WILL DIMINISH THROUGH REMAINDER PERIOD...A TREND DRIVEN MAINLY
   BY LOSS OF SFC DIABATIC HEATING AND LOCALLY BY EFFECTS OF CONVECTIVE
   OUTFLOWS.  THEREFORE ANY REMAINING SEVERE HAIL/WIND POTENTIAL
   APPEARS MARGINAL AND BRIEF.
   
   ..EDWARDS.. 09/30/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
   SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
   WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
   IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
   CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
   WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z