SPC AC 101240
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0740 AM CDT MON OCT 10 2005
   
   VALID 101300Z - 111200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S P07 30 NNE P07
   45 ENE FST 30 W MAF 25 SSE ALM 40 N SVC 30 W GNT 35 ESE FMN 55 S ALS
   40 NNW LVS 40 NE LVS 35 E RTN 25 SW LAA 30 E LAA 30 SSW DDC 25 WSW
   END 25 NNE ADM 45 SW PRX 25 S TYR 50 NW BPT 25 SSE BPT.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE SAV 35 NE SSI
   20 S SSI 50 SSE JAX 10 NNW MLB 30 SSE PBI 45 S MIA 60 NE EYW 55 SSE
   FMY 20 S FMY 40 E SRQ 55 NNE PIE 40 ESE VLD 65 SSE MCN 25 NNW MCN 25
   NNW ATL 25 N CHA 40 NNW CSV 15 N LEX 60 W UNI 10 NNE ZZV 20 ESE HLG
   25 S AOO 35 S CXY 10 ESE ILG 35 E NEL.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   LARGE UPPER LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES WILL LIFT SLOWLY
   NORTHEASTWARD TODAY...WITH BAND OF 50-70 KNOT WESTERLY MID LEVEL
   WINDS ROTATING INTO WEST TX.  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
   TO OCCUR AHEAD OF SYSTEM ACROSS MUCH OF TX/OK. HOWEVER...ONLY TWO
   AREAS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER PROBABILITIES.
   
   ...UPPER TX GULF COAST...
   LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS ONGOING THIS MORNING EXTENDING ROUGHLY FROM
   AUS TO PSX.  THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE
   MORNING HOURS...TRACKING EASTWARD ALONG SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE
   TOWARD THE HOU AREA.  AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SOUTH OF
   BOUNDARY...COUPLED WITH SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES SUGGEST A
   MARGINAL THREAT OF GUSTY WINDS AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO THIS
   MORNING.  THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AS MID LEVEL WINDS
   WEAKEN.
   
   ...TX PANHANDLE...
   MID LEVEL DRY SLOT IS ROTATING ACROSS WEST TX THIS MORNING.  THIS
   SHOULD ALLOW STRONG DAYTIME HEATING ACROSS MUCH OF THIS
   REGION...RESULTING IN STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MARGINAL
   INSTABILITY /MLCAPE VALUES AROUND 500 J/KG/.  RATHER COOL
   TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND STRONG DYNAMIC FORCING WILL PROMOTE SCATTERED
   THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MARGINALLY SEVERE
   HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON AROUND PEAK
   HEATING.  THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET.
   
   ..HART/JEWELL.. 10/10/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
   SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
   WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
   IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
   CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
   WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z