Nov 3, 2005 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Updated: Thu Nov 3 15:52:13 UTC 2005 Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
|
|||||||||||
SPC AC 031549 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0949 AM CST THU NOV 03 2005 VALID 031630Z - 041200Z. ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST... FAST ZONAL FLOW IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER THE NATION THROUGH THE PERIOD...THOUGH STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVING INTO THE WEST WILL LOWER HEIGHTS ACROSS THE NWRN QUARTER OF THE COUNTRY. THE WLY FLOW ALOFT WILL RESULTING IN A DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM AIR MASS EAST OF THE ROCKIES...WHICH IS UNFAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS. IN THE PACIFIC NW...MOIST STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS UPSTREAM TROUGH APPROACHES. THIS WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO GIVEN NEUTRAL LAPSE RATES. HOWEVER...LESS THAN 100 J/KG OF MUCAPE AND LACK OF DIURNAL HEATING SHOULD LIMIT THE DEPTH OF CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND INHIBIT MOST THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. ..IMY.. 11/03/2005 ...NOTICE... THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1... WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005 CONVECTIVE SEASON. A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS) WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION. CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z |