Nov 3, 2005 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Nov 3 21:30:31 UTC 2005
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
Categorical Graphic
20051103 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20051103 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20051103 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20051103 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 031934
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0134 PM CST THU NOV 03 2005
   
   VALID 032000Z - 041200Z.
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...PACIFIC NW COAST...
   
   CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH
   DIGGING SEWD OVER THE FAR ERN PACIFIC WITH A DOWNSTREAM REGION OF
   IMPLIED ASCENT OVER WRN AND CNTRL WA/ORE.  CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS
   ASSOCIATED WITH THIS REGION OF ASCENT HAS LIMITED DAYTIME HEATING
   AHEAD OF FRONTAL ZONE APPROACHING THE COAST WITH TEMPERATURES
   REMAINING LARGELY IN THE 40S W OF THE CASCADE RANGE.  AS A
   RESULT...RUC OBJECTIVE FIELDS INDICATE THAT AIR MASS REMAINS NEUTRAL
   OR STABLE FOR BOTH SURFACE-BASED AND ELEVATED PARCELS. THOUGH AN
   ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS REGION
   THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...ANTICIPATED AREAL COVERAGE SHOULD BE
   TOO LIMITED TO WARRANT A GENERAL THUNDER AREA.
   
   ..MEAD.. 11/03/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
   SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
   WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
   IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
   CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
   WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z