SPC AC 090156
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 2
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0756 PM CST TUE NOV 08 2005
   
   VALID 090100Z - 091200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE
   CRW HTS 40 NE LEX 35 ESE IND 20 SSW BMI 20 ESE OTM 25 ESE MCW 10 WSW
   EAU 35 NNW GRB 20 NNW HTL 10 WNW YNG HLG 20 NE CRW.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WSW BUF 20 WNW PHL
   50 ENE SBY.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW MRY 45 ESE MRY
   25 S FAT 30 W PMD 55 SW LGB.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE ORF 20 SW AVC
   10 W TRI 30 ESE SDF 50 NNW EVV 10 E CDJ 45 E DNS RWF 55 ESE BRD 30 N
   IWD 35 NNW MQT 20 NW ANJ.
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES/OH
   VALLEY REGION...
   
   CORRECTED FOR THUNDER GRAPHIC
   
   ...GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY REGION...
   WEAKENING CONVECTION CONTINUES MOVING SEWD ACROSS WV...WHILE NEW
   STORM DEVELOPMENT IS OCCURRING OVER N CENTRAL INDIANA JUST N OF WARM
   FRONT...AS WARM ADVECTION INCREASES IN RESPONSE TO DEVELOPING
   LOW-LEVEL JET. EXPECT STORMS TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT
   SEVERAL HOURS...WITH GREATEST STORM COVERAGE FORECAST ACROSS NRN
   IL/NRN INDIANA/OH NOW INTO WI/MI.  
   
   THOUGH CAPPING IS STRONGER FURTHER W...SEWD-MOVING COLD FRONT NOW
   CROSSING THE MIDDLE MO VALLEY MAY INITIATE ADDITIONAL STORMS AS IS
   MOVES ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY LATER TONIGHT.
   
   THOUGH INCREASINGLY-STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR ACROSS THIS REGION WILL
   SUPPORT ORGANIZED/SUPERCELL STORMS...HAIL SHOULD REMAIN THE MAIN
   SEVERE THREAT...AS THE MAJORITY OF CONVECTION WILL REMAIN ELEVATED N
   OF WARM FRONT. HOWEVER...LOCALLY-DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO OR
   TWO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF SLOWLY
   RETREATING WARM FRONT...WHERE A FEW SURFACE-BASED OR NEAR
   SURFACE-BASED STORMS MAY DEVELOP.
   
   STORMS/SEVERE THREAT SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT...AS
   CONVECTIVE CLUSTER SHIFTS EWD TOWARD THE UPPER OH VALLEY/LOWER GREAT
   LAKES AHEAD OF PROGRESSIVE LARGE-SCALE SYSTEM.
   
   ...COASTAL SRN CA...
   AREA OF SHOWERS -- AND PERHAPS A FEW EMBEDDED LIGHTNING STRIKES --
   WILL EXPAND ACROSS PARTS OF SRN CA OVERNIGHT AS OFFSHORE UPPER LOW
   MOVES SLOWLY EWD.  DESPITE STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...INSTABILITY
   SHOULD REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE ACROSS THIS REGION.  
   
   COLDEST AIR ALOFT /-20C/ -- AND THUS GREATEST INSTABILITY -- IS
   FORECAST TO MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS POINT CONCEPTION AND VICINITY. 
   GIVEN FAIRLY STRONG SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW/SHEAR FORECAST ACROSS THIS
   REGION...A FEW WATERSPOUTS/A BRIEF ONSHORE TORNADO BENEATH A
   STRONGER CONVECTIVE CELL CANNOT BE RULED OUT LATE IN THE PERIOD.
   
   ..GOSS.. 11/09/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
   SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
   WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
   IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
   CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
   WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z