SPC AC 261951
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0151 PM CST SAT NOV 26 2005
   
   VALID 262000Z - 271200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S
   LCH 25 NNW LCH 20 SW HEZ 35 ESE MCB 60 SSE BVE.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE U28 35 ENE RKS
   20 SW LAR 25 E 4FC 45 E DRO 20 SSW CEZ 15 E 4BL 15 ENE U28.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW CLM 40 S OLM
   35 SE EUG 40 NNW MFR 40 E CEC 30 SSW CEC 35 SW CEC.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S PSX 25 SW LBX 30
   ENE HOU 20 SE LFK 10 S GGG 25 E DUA 10 SE ADM 20 W TUL 30 E EMP 20
   ENE CNK 35 ESE HSI 30 SSW OLU 20 N SLB 30 WNW RST 30 SSE CWA 15 E
   MTW 10 N AZO 15 SSW FWA 30 ENE EVV 50 SW BNA 0A8 40 SW PFN.
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS CNTRL/SRN LA AND EXTREME
   SWRN MS...
   
   ...LWR MS VLY...
   MCS HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED THIS AFTN...WITH A WELL-DEVELOPED
   SUB-SYNOPTIC SCALE CIRCULATION MOVING INTO WCNTRL LA.  A LINE OF
   TSTMS HAS EVOLVED SWD THROUGH SWRN LA AND INTO THE WRN GULF OF
   MEXICO AT MID-AFTN.  ADDITIONAL...MORE DISCRETE CELLS...WERE FORMING
   JUST AHEAD OF THE LINE SEGMENT...MAINLY OFFSHORE...BEFORE GETTING
   ABSORBED INTO THE EWD-MOVING LINE.
   
   THE MID-LEVEL WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH THE MCS IS EXPECTED TO EJECT NEWD
   TONIGHT TOWARD THE TN VLY...WITH THE STRONGEST PORTION OF THE LLJ
   SHIFTING NWD WITH TIME.  TSTM WILL TEND TO DEVELOP ENEWD ACROSS LA
   AND INTO MS OVERNIGHT IN THE ZONE OF LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND
   WARM/MOIST ADVECTION.
   
   THE WARM FRONT...NOW ANALYZED ALONG THE LA COAST...SHOULD MOVE
   INLAND THIS EVENING...AT LEAST TO THE I-10/I-12 CORRIDOR...AS
   PRESSURES CONTINUE TO FALL IN THE LWR MS VLY.  CONSEQUENTLY...THE
   BOUNDARY LAYER WILL GRADUALLY DESTABILIZE WITH THE THREAT FOR
   SURFACE-BASED TSTMS THROUGH THE EVENING.  THE LINE OF TSTMS WILL
   LIKELY MAINTAIN CHARACTER WITH ISOLD EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS AND
   LEWPS/BOWS GIVEN THE 50 KTS OF DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR.  DISCRETE
   SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME SRN LA AHEAD OF THE LINE
   WHERE INSTABILITY WILL BE THE STRONGEST...BUT THIS SCENARIO SHOULD
   SUBSIDE AS STRONGEST ASCENT PASSES FARTHER N WITH TIME.  DAMAGING
   WINDS AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS ACROSS
   CNTRL/SRN LA. 
   
   TSTMS WILL TEND TO BE MORE ELEVATED AT FARTHER N LATITUDES IN
   LA/MS...BUT COULD STILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS /ISOLD SEVERE/ WHERE THE
   BOUNDARY LAYER WARMED SOMEWHAT THIS AFTN.
   
   ..RACY.. 11/26/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
   DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
   IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:
   
      WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
      WUUS01            PTSDY1
      WUUS02            PTSDY2
      WUUS03            PTSDY3
   
   A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
   ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
   WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
   WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z