Dec 12, 2005 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Dec 12 12:54:13 UTC 2005
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
Categorical Graphic
20051212 1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20051212 1300 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20051212 1300 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20051212 1300 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 121252
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0652 AM CST MON DEC 12 2005
   
   VALID 121300Z - 131200Z.
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
   BROAD TROUGH WILL PERSIST ACROSS ERN NOAM AS REX BLOCK BREAKS DOWN
   IN THE WEST.  UPPER LOW COMPRISING THE REX BLOCK...NOW OVER
   CNTRL/SRN CA...SHOULD CONTINUE E AS AN OPEN TROUGH ACROSS THE SRN
   GRT BASIN/NRN AZ LATER TODAY/TONIGHT BEFORE REACHING WRN CO EARLY
   TUESDAY.
   
   DRY AND/OR STABLE AIR WILL PRECLUDE TSTM DEVELOPMENT OVER MOST OF
   THE NATION TODAY.  WIDELY SCATTERED DIURNALLY ENHANCED CONVECTION
   MAY ACCOMPANY UPR LOW AS IT CROSSES THE CNTRL/SRN SIERRA TODAY.  BUT
   DEPTH OF UNSTABLE LAYER AND SUPPLY OF MOISTURE LIKELY WILL BE TOO
   LIMITED TO SUPPORT MORE THAN AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO.
   
   ..CORFIDI.. 12/12/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
   DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
   IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:
   
      WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
      WUUS01            PTSDY1
      WUUS02            PTSDY2
      WUUS03            PTSDY3
   
   A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
   ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
   WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
   WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z