SPC AC 131659
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1059 AM CST SUN MAR 13 2005
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE DAB 45 N PIE
   ...CONT... 35 SSE LCH 30 E POE 35 N HEZ 55 NW MEI 30 N TCL 25 NNE
   GAD 45 ENE RMG 20 SSW GSO 20 NNE HSE.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SE YUM 25 NNE EED
   45 SSW P38 25 S CDC 65 ESE SOW 30 NE ONM 45 E ROW 20 NNE INK 15 WSW
   FST 55 SW MRF.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...N FL/S GA AREA...
   COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS AND TN VLY WILL 
   MOVE SEWD...REACHING SC...CNTRL GA AND THE WRN GULF BASIN BY 12Z
   MON.  BANDS OF CONVECTION...LARGELY ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE
   BOUNDARY...SHOULD BE PRESENT ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF COASTAL/SERN
   STATES AT THE START OF THE DAY2 PERIOD.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL PROBABLY
   WEAKEN AND/OR MOVE OFF THE GA/CAROLINAS COAST BY MID-DAY.
   
   AS THE POLAR VORTEX REPOSITIONS FARTHER WEST AND LARGE SCALE HEIGHT
   FALLS INCREASE OVER THE WRN/CNTRL CONUS...DOWNSTREAM FLOW WILL
   BECOME ZONAL ACROSS THE GULF COAST.  CONSEQUENTLY...THE FRONT WILL
   PROBABLY STALL ACROSS SRN GA/NRN FL BY MON AFTERNOON.  PERSISTENT
   SWLY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL ADVECT MID 60S DEW
   POINTS NEWD INTO THE PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR.  AT THE SAME
   TIME...PLUME OF STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL LIKELY STREAM EWD INTO THE
   SERN STATES ON WLY MID-LEVEL FLOW...POTENTIALLY CAPPING SURFACE
   BASED PARCELS. 
   
   TSTM PROBABILITIES WILL LIKELY INCREASE MON AFTERNOON/EVENING AS A
   WEAK LOW-AMPLITUDE PERTURBATION /NOW OVER FAR W TX/ MIGRATES EWD
   ACROSS THE SERN STATES.  THOUGH THE THREAT FOR SURFACE BASED TSTMS
   WILL BE LOW GIVEN THE ANTICIPATED STOUT CAP...ELEVATED INSTABILITY
   AND FAVORABLE CLOUD-BEARING SHEAR WILL PROBABLY BE SUFFICIENT FOR
   ISOLD SEVERE TSTMS ACROSS S GA/N FL.  
   
   ...SWRN STATES...
   STRONG COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DIG SWD
   INTO THE SWRN STATES MON.  STEEPENING LAPSE RATES IN COMBINATION
   WITH LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND OROGRAPHICS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO TSTMS.
   
   ...TX GULF COAST...
   TAIL END OF THE COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE OVER THE WRN GULF BASIN
   WILL LIKELY STALL AND BEGIN REDEVELOPING NWD AGAIN VERY LATE MON AS
   HEIGHTS FALL UPSTREAM. BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO ADVECT
   BACK TOWARD THE COAST...BUT TSTM PROBABILITIES SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL
   THE DAY 3 PERIOD.
   
   ..RACY.. 03/13/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0800Z