SPC AC 161735
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1235 PM CDT FRI SEP 16 2005
   
   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NW 3B1 40 N 3B1 40
   NW EPM.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW ANJ 25 SSE VOK
   35 SW OTM 20 ENE FSM 35 SSE DUA 40 NNE ACT 60 SW TYR 50 ENE LFK 25
   SE JAN 15 W LGC 30 ESE AVL 15 NNW BKW 25 WSW HLG 25 NW ERI.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW FHU 50 SSE SOW
   40 ESE FMN 25 NE GLD 50 N IML 30 E AIA 20 SSW BFF 25 NNE FCL 40 SSE
   BPI 30 ESE BYI 40 WSW OWY 40 E 4LW 45 E RDM 35 NNW 4OM.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE CTB 15 S LWT
   60 W MLS 35 SSW P24 75 NE DVL.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   RELATIVELY QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST AT THE SURFACE AND
   ALOFT THIS PERIOD -- WITH RESPECT TO THE SEVERE CONVECTIVE
   POTENTIAL.  IN THE WAKE LARGE COLD FRONT -- WHICH SHOULD BE MOVING
   EWD/SEWD TOWARD THE ATLANTIC AND GULF COASTS...COOLER/MORE STABLE
   AIRMASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE ERN 2/3 OF THE CONUS.
   
   WEAK COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE N CENTRAL CONUS
   THIS PERIOD...BUT LIMITED INSTABILITY SUGGESTS LITTLE SEVERE THREAT.
    GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS APPEARS TO EXIST ACROSS PARTS
   OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...THOUGH EVEN HERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN 
   LIMITED/ISOLATED.
   
   ...ERN TX PANHANDLE/WRN N TX INTO WRN OK AND S CENTRAL/SWRN KS...
   DAYTIME HEATING OF MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER BENEATH STEEP LAPSE RATES
   SPREADING EWD OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN SHOULD YIELD MODERATE AIRMASS
   DESTABILIZATION BY AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND SRN
   PLAINS.  THOUGH CAPPING INVERSION SHOULD LIMIT POTENTIAL FOR
   CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION...ISOLATED STORMS
   MAY DEVELOP WHERE CAP LOCALLY WEAKENS INVOF TROUGH/DRYLINE FORECAST
   ACROSS WRN KS/THE OK AND TX PANHANDLES.  STORMS MAY INCREASE
   SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE INTO THE EVENING AS LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS.
   
   ASSUMING STORMS DEVELOP...VEERING LOW-LEVEL FLOW INCREASING TO 30 TO
   40 KT AT MID-LEVELS WILL RESULT IN SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS. 
   THEREFORE...WILL MAINTAIN LOW-PROBABILITY SEVERE THREAT ACROSS THIS
   REGION.  HOWEVER...WITH STORMS FORECAST ATTM TO REMAIN ISOLATED --
   OVERALL SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LOW.
   
   ..GOSS.. 09/16/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
   SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
   WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
   IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
   CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
   WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0800Z