Apr- 5-2005 1100 UTC Day 3 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Apr 5 07:41:41 UTC 2005
Categorical Graphic
20050405 1100 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20050405 1100 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 050740
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0240 AM CDT TUE APR 05 2005
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE SERN U.S....
   
   ...SERN U.S...
   
   LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SERN U.S. OVER THE NEXT
   FEW DAYS AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE MS VALLEY REGION.  THIS
   INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ENHANCE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL
   ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT DURING THE DAY3 PERIOD.  IT APPEARS THE
   GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SUBSTANTIAL INSTABILITY WILL OCCUR ACROSS SRN
   AL INTO GA AND NRN FL WHERE DEEP LAYER FLOW WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
   SHEARED AND FAVORABLE FOR POTENTIAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  LATEST
   THINKING IS THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING FROM LATE DAY2 ACTIVITY
   WHICH COULD PROPAGATE EWD ACROSS THE CURRENT OUTLOOK AREA. 
   ADDITIONAL STRONG/SEVERE DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR LATER IN THE DAY
   ALONG WIND SHIFT IF BOUNDARY LAYER CAN DESTABILIZE AS LATE EVENING
   DATA SUGGESTS.
   
   ..DARROW.. 04/05/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
   SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
   WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
   IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
   CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
   WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1100Z