Apr- 5-2005 1100 UTC Day 3 Convective Outlook Updated: Tue Apr 5 07:41:41 UTC 2005
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SPC AC 050740 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0240 AM CDT TUE APR 05 2005 VALID 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE SERN U.S.... ...SERN U.S... LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SERN U.S. OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE MS VALLEY REGION. THIS INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ENHANCE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT DURING THE DAY3 PERIOD. IT APPEARS THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SUBSTANTIAL INSTABILITY WILL OCCUR ACROSS SRN AL INTO GA AND NRN FL WHERE DEEP LAYER FLOW WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY SHEARED AND FAVORABLE FOR POTENTIAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. LATEST THINKING IS THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING FROM LATE DAY2 ACTIVITY WHICH COULD PROPAGATE EWD ACROSS THE CURRENT OUTLOOK AREA. ADDITIONAL STRONG/SEVERE DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR LATER IN THE DAY ALONG WIND SHIFT IF BOUNDARY LAYER CAN DESTABILIZE AS LATE EVENING DATA SUGGESTS. ..DARROW.. 04/05/2005 ...NOTICE... THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1... WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005 CONVECTIVE SEASON. A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS) WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION. CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1100Z |