Aug 12, 2005 1100 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Fri Aug 12 07:23:37 UTC 2005
Categorical Graphic
20050812 1100 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20050812 1100 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 120721
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0221 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2005
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   
   FRONTAL POSITION WILL MOVE LITTLE DURING THE DAY3 PERIOD AS SFC
   RIDGE BECOMES MORE ELONGATED E-W ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY. 
   WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL FOCUS
   ALONG THIS BOUNDARY AS DEEP WSWLY FLOW MAINTAINS FRONTAL ORIENTATION
   FROM SRN NEW ENGLAND...ACROSS THE OH VALLEY...SWWD INTO THE SRN
   PLAINS.  IN THE ABSENCE OF STRONG FORCING TO MOVE THIS FEATURE...IT
   APPEARS TSTMS MAY STRUGGLE TO DEVIATE ANY GREAT DISTANCE INTO THE
   WARM SECTOR...THUS MORE SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY THAT DEVELOPS DURING
   THE AFTERNOON FARTHER SOUTH MAY NOT BE UTILIZED.  EVEN
   SO...RELATIVELY WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL INHIBIT ORGANIZED
   THUNDERSTORMS.
   
   ..DARROW.. 08/12/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
   SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
   WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
   IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
   CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
   WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1100Z